Monday, November 26, 2012

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Fiscal Cliff Concerns, More Eurozone Debt Angst, Growing Global Growth Fears, Consumer Discretionary/Energy Sector Weakness

Today's Market Take:
 
Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 15.70 +3.70%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 146.0 +37.7%
  • Total Put/Call .62 -30.34%
  • NYSE Arms 1.20 +184.88%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 101.14 +2.09%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 166.08 +3.45%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 113.46 bps -1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 257.0 bps +1.74%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.5 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.0 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% +2 basis point
  • Yield Curve 140.0 -2 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $118.20/Metric Tonne -.59%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.50 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.39 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -22 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my Tech sector longs and Emerging Markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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