Thursday, September 19, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Long-Term Rates, Profit-Taking, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.21 -2.80%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.24 +1.56%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.77 -1.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.09 -.17%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 +3.67%
  • Total Put/Call .75 -9.64%
  • NYSE Arms 1.39 +76.88% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.79 +.42%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 125.17 -4.66%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 88.0 -1.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 271.92 +3.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.0 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 242.0 +5 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.80/Metric Tonne +.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.40 +5.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.30 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.22 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +154 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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