Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Ukraine Unrest, US Economic Data, Financial/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.85 +7.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.75 -.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.65 +.70%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.58 +3.04%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 +14.94%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +16.88%
  • NYSE Arms 1.15 -26.79% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.95 +1.19%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.35 +1.29%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 52.66 +1.27%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 103.95 +2.09%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 341.54 +3.09%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 356.92 +.44%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.25 -3.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.25 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 242.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $123.90/Metric Tonne -.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -4.0 -4.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 19.0 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.15 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -12 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -32 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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