Thursday, July 31, 2014

Stocks Plunging into Final Hour on Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Fed Rate Hike Worries, Global Growth Fears, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.35 +22.73%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.78 +.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.80 +6.75%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.50 +10.08%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 61.0 -40.20%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -1.03%
  • NYSE Arms .43 -44.32% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.96 +6.06%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.23 +7.44%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 35.19 +3.23%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 74.33 +4.62%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 271.86 +3.57%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 305.91 +.72%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.25 +2.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.75 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 203.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $95.60/Metric Tonne -.31%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.50 -7.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.40 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.28 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -95 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/biotech/medical/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and added to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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