Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Utilities/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line:  Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.01 +6.31%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 151.72 -.93%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.85 +.28%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 66.79 +2.61%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 +25.42%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 +19.05%
  • NYSE Arms 1.14 +36.14% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.12 +.72% 
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 634.0 -.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.46 +4.88%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.86 +1.13%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 66.41 +4.39%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 335.45 +1.46%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 341.76 +.32%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.25 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 150.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $71.15/Metric Tonne +3.55%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.40 -1.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 9.20 +4.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.0 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.64 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -25 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -15 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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