Monday, August 31, 2015

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Fed Rate Hike Worries, Technical Selling, Biotech/Utility Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 28.02 +7.48%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.09 +.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.63 +.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.07 +6.78%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 +25.6%
  • Total Put/Call 1.21 -5.47%
  • NYSE Arms 1.0 -5.32% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.41 +1.81%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,869.0 -.8%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.07 -.28%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.25 -.40%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.0 +1.12%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 346.98 +.70%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 116.96 +.15%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.25 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% -6.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 147.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.21/Metric Tonne +.3%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.2 -7.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 15.2 +1.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.6 -4.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.63 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 4.28 -1.33
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -50 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -488 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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