Thursday, May 26, 2016

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Tech/Utility Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.70 -1.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.33 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.44 -1.88%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.68 +.13%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 62.0 -32.61%
  • Total Put/Call .97 -1.02%
  • NYSE Arms 1.24 +107.50% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 76.88 -.19%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 906.0-2.53%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.12 -.42%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.76 +.41%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 53.08 +.55%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 299.94 -.18%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 128.61 -.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.50 +2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.98 +.22%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .28% -4.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 96.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $49.48/Metric Tonne -1.84%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.40 +2.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.0 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.7 +1.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.62% unch.
  • 51.0% chance of Fed rate hike at July 27 meeting, 58.9% chance at September 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +123 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -9 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: