Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Rising US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Energy/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.49 -.44%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 12-.96 -.01%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.89 -.30%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.24 -.32%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 51.0 -51.78%
  • Total Put/Call .88 +11.39%
  • NYSE Arms 1.39 +116.37
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.74 +1.28%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 713.0 -2.85%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 98.25 +1.10%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.54 -.31%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 48.55 +.80%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 248.58 +.40%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 130.54 -.3%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.75 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 37.0 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -42.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.67 +.03%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .30% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 80.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.15/Metric Tonne -.39%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 13.0 +2.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 4.4 -1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.70 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.47% -2.0 basis points
  • 13.6% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 21 meeting, 13.6% chance at Nov. 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +174 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +2 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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