Monday, February 27, 2017

Stocks Rising Slightly into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Biotech/Healthcare Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.86 +3.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.72 +.84%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.57 -.73%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.12 -2.06%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 83.0 -9.78%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -4.82%
  • NYSE Arms .79 -53.31%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.33 -1.48%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 355.0 -.48%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 93.48 -1.48%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.17 -2.89%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.40 +.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 214.94 +.14%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 135.06 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 35.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 55.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.5 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.60 +.06%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% unch.
  • Yield Curve 116.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $92.33/Metric Tonne +2.02%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.10 -8.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 72.30 +2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 42.90 -3.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.03 +1.0 basis point
  • 66.6% chance of Fed rate hike at May 3 meeting, 78.4% chance at June 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +127 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +52 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my in my retail/biotech sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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