Thursday, April 13, 2017

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Geopolitical Tensions, Earnings Concerns, Technical Selling, Energy/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.41 -2.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 121.02 -.27%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.30 +.11%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.50 -.06%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 +22.83%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -17.71%
  • NYSE Arms 1.38 +20.25%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.24 +.24%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 355.0 +.84%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 93.53 +1.0%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.33 +6.69%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.66 +4.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 211.49 -1.07%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 136.61 -.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 33.25 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 35.25 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.75 -3.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.14 +.06%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .80% -1.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 103.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.68/Metric Tonne +.94%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.20 +1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 38.90 -.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.7 +7.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 unch.
  • 56.7% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 59.6% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -16 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating unch. open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating unch. open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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