Tuesday, December 29, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to unch. on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.0 -.75 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 28.0 -1.0 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.90 +.06%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 1,401.0 +3.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 24.60 -.10%
  • FTSE 100 futures -.48%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.04%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Advance Goods Trade Balance for Nov. is estimated at -$81.5B versus -$80.3B in Oct.
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for Nov. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +1.1% gain in Oct.
9:45 am EST
  • MNI Chicago PMI for Dec. is estimated to fall to 56.0 versus a reading of 58.2 in Nov.
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales MoM for Nov. is estimated unch. versus a -1.1% decline in Oct.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,449,670 barrels versus a -562,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise +212,780 barrels versus a -1,125,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -402,890 barrels versus a -2,325,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.38% versus a -1.1% decline prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The South Korean inflation report and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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