Thursday, June 24, 2021

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Infrastructure Deal Hopes, Stable Long-Term Rates, Short-Covering, Commodity/Construction Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.8 -3.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,400.0 +40.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.72 -.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.7 -1.6%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.1 +2.4%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 136.0  +7.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .7 -1.5%
  • NYSE Arms .74 -22.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 48.39 -.9%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 385.85 -.65%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.4 -1.0%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 105.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.17 -.56%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 152.86 -1.75%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.15 -.22%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 9.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 -.5 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  67.0 -2.25 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.80 +.17%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 122.0 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 206.05 USD/Metric Tonne -.33%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 26.5 -3.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 97.20 +3.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 78.1 +1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.33 -2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 15th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +135 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +50 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my commodity/tech/medical/industrial/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

No comments: