Friday, December 01, 2023

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 4,594.6 +.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 36,245.5 +2.4%
  • NASDAQ 14,305.0 +.4%
  • Russell 2000 1,862.6 +3.1%
  • NYSE FANG+ 8,210.7 -.9% 
  • Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 36.94 +11.9%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 141.3 +8.1%
  • Wilshire 5000 45,805.2 +1.2%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,935.5 +.34%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,564.49 +1.9%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 747.05 +.55%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,326.88 +.34%
  • NYSE Technology 4,086.1 +1.6%
  • Transports 15,463.7 +2.5%
  • Utilities 876.01 +1.2%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 88.72 +1.9%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.65 +.47%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 188.72 +.70%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 106.73 -.05%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 461,644 +.86%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 5.2-20.5%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 140 +221
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -28.7 +16.6%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 207,324 -3.9%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,553,677 -5.2%
  • Total Put/Call .84 -25.0%
  • OEX Put/Call .94 -37.3%
  • ISE Sentiment 127.0 +1.0 point
  • NYSE Arms .88 +2.33%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 60.8 -9.8%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .52 +9.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .23 -15.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.6 +1.4%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing .84% +196.9%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 21.1 +9.8%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.51 +4.6%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.83 +1.7%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,275.3 +.48%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  81.4 +3.4
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.836 Trillion +1.3%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.573 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 48.8 +7.7%
  • AAII % Bears 19.6 -17.0%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 270.77 -.45%
  • Crude Oil 74.07/bbl. -1.5%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 212.11 -.63%
  • Natural Gas 2.81 -1.8%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 43.5 euros/megawatt-hour -5.0%
  • Heating Oil 266.15 -5.7% 
  • Newcastle Coal 135.5 (1,000/metric ton) +5.9%
  • Gold 2,072.22 +3.6%
  • Silver 25.5 +4.8%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 406.9 -.4%
  • Copper 393.15 +3.7%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 383.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.52%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 130.9 USD/Metric Tonne -.53%
  • CME Lumber  525.5 -4.8%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,576.75 -.15%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 322.50 USD/Short Ton -3.0%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q Forecast +1.19% -.91 percentage point
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.12 +15.9%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 94.2 +129.2%
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(491 of 500 reporting) +4.5% n/a
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 242.07 n/a:  Growth Rate +9.3% n/a, P/E 18.9 n/a
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.13% -1.0 basis point
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 10 reporting) +50.6% n/a
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 284.46 n/a: Growth Rate +33.4% n/a, P/E 30.0 n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 25.6 -5.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -23.7 -.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 25.8 +3.4 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply .00%(-0.0 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 97.3%(+1.8 percentage points) chance of no change, 2.7%(-1.8 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 12/13
  • US Dollar Index 103.19 -.27%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,717.50 +.46%
  • Bitcoin/USD 38,779.3 +2.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 171.14 -2.2%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -34.5 +14.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.23% -24.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.759 Trillion -.2% 
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.557 Billion +16.8%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.0 -4.8%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 178.6 -3.4%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 174.0 -3.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.4 -.23%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 58.9 -1.6%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 145.2 -2.0%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 114.6 -2.0%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.3 -5.3%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.38 -.5%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 76.69 -4.0%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.9% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.2% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.3% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.9% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.46% -9.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.04% -6.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23% -5.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 25.75 +1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.0 +3.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.3 -2.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 167.0 -2.6
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 345.0 +17.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 76.6 -2.9%
  • Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 233.81 -3.7%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 186.45 -1.9%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 152.0 -9.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 944.0 +6.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .88 -4.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.3% +30.0 basis points
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,275.2 +1.7%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 220,000 -.23%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 39.3 -21.1%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.57% -24.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 176,100 +.28%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.90% +70.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY n/a
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $207.9M +80.70%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.25/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,937.0 +39.7%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 857.72 -2.2%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 37.50 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 23.8 -32.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 219,384 -16.9%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,266,124 -13.0%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +3.0%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +.3%
Leading Sectors
  • Gold & Silver +7.4%
  • Regional Banks +6.7%
  • REITs +4.6%
  • Steel +4.6%
  • Retail +4.3%
Lagging Sectors
  • Foods -.4%
  • Healthcare Providers -.5%
  • Oil Service -.9%
  • Gambling -1.1%
  • Electric Vehicles -1.3%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (50)
  • ESTC, PATH, IOT, AAOI, GCT, UPST, VNO, MARA, LYFT, APLS, BXP, BMEA, PARA, HCP, ZUMZ, ERO, ETRN, AFRM, RIOT, ARE, NVRO, ASO, CC, GTLB, METC, BANC, VAC, CRDO, CLF, DOMO, COIN, SATS, PRO, ABR, ERJ, CCU, ONB, GME, FCX, UMBF, MSTR, CNHI, FLT, WEN, BHP, FA, TCBI, CRM and SBLK
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (4)
  • PFE, DELL, CWAN and MRVL
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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