| S&P 500 7,234.0 +1.0% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 49,564.0 +.7%
- NASDAQ 25,130.8 +1.1%
- Russell 2000 2,809.4 +.9%
- NYSE FANG+ 16,412.0 +1.1%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 288.9 -.7%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 34.31 +.6%
- Wilshire 5000 71,588.0 +.9%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,836.4 +.4%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,270.7 +1.5%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 989.4 +.9%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 256.4 -.2%
- NYSE Technology 8,339.7 +1.9%
- Transports 20,627.2 -1.1%
- Utilities 1,157.3 +.3%
- MSCI Europe Banks 115.1 +1.0%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 63.9 +.4%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 255.3 +.6%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 132.5 -.3%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 612,393 +.1%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 12.0 -36.5%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,124 -601
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.6 +5.0%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 192,302 -6.9%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,984,747 -5.2%
- Total Put/Call .73 +6.4%
- OEX Put/Call .19 -66.0%
- ISE Sentiment 177.0 +8.6%
- NYSE Arms 1.14 -27.6%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 116.8 +2.1%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .90 +5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.05 -5.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 17.0 -9.1%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .55 -29.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 14.9 -2.5%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.1 +.6%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.1 -1.3%
- Smart Money Flow Index 20,322.8 -.5%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 94.2 unch.
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.626 Trillion -.1%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$17.738 Million
- AAII % Bulls 38.1 -17.2%
- AAII % Bears 39.7 +15.4%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 67.0 (GREED) unch.
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 395.1 +3.5%
- Crude Oil 102.20/bbl. +6.8%
- Reformulated Gasoline 359.6 +7.2%
- Natural Gas 2.79 +9.9%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 76.9 USD/Megawatt +2.7%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 45.4 euros/megawatt-hour +1.1%
- Heating Oil 395.3 -.3%
- Newcastle Coal 137.8 (1,000/metric ton) +6.8%
- Gold 4,619.1 -1.9%
- Silver 75.75 +.1%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 177.7 -1.5%
- Copper 597.4 -1.0%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 405.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.3%
- China Iron Ore Spot 107.7 USD/Metric Tonne +.9
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 25,450.0 USD/metric tonne +8.4% - inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 59.4 -1.0%
- CME Lumber 585.0 +.2%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,416.3 +3.4%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 337.5 USD/Short Ton +1.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 641.5 USD/Short Ton -1.7%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.5% n/a
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 17.5 -1.5 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 3.0 +17.5%
- Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 178.7 +6.7%
- Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 100.0 unch.
- Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 95.0% +3.0 percentage points
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 352.9 -37.5%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .6 +.2
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(315 of 500 reporting) +28.4% +3.1 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 347.47 4.90: Growth Rate +25.4% +1.8 percentage points, P/E 20.8 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.23% +5.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(7 of 10 reporting) +61.9% -252.6 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 836.95 +15.04: Growth Rate +111.4% +3.8 percentage points, P/E 19.4 -.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 20.1 +8.2 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -70.8 -22.4 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 48.9 +9.8 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 7.1%(+1.8 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 92.9%(-.9 percentage point) chance of no change, 0.0%(-1.0 percentage point) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 6/17
- US Dollar Index 98.17 -.34%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,864.4 -.2%
- Bitcoin/USD 78,555.0 +.4%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 210.0 -1.4%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.75 +43%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 49.25 -4.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.38% +7.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.75% +7.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.652 Trillion -.1%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.052 Billion +4.3%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 38.2 -.2%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 193.5 +2.4%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 82.0 +4.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.7 +.4%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.0 -2.1%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 118.3 -9.0%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 67.9 +.1%
- Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 83.0 +6.7%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.5 -1.5%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.08 -.8%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 113.07 +.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.28% +18.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.56% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.24 +8.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.49 +6.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 1.25 -3.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.5 +.75 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 0.0 +1.5 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 53.96 -1.1%
- BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 78.2 +4.9%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 104.0 -2.9%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 490.75 -3.3%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 218.0 -29.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 61.2 -1.8%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 159.3 -.7%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 114.0 +4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 579.0 -1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .51 -2.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% -30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,423.7B +.3%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 207,500 -1.7%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.2 -.3%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.35% -1.0 basis point
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 298,500 -1.6%
- Weekly Retail Sales +7.1% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +14.0% +4.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $123.9M -22.0%
- Nationwide Gas $4.39/gallon +.33/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,686.0 +.8%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,216.4/40 ft Box -.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,269.6 +4.8%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 240.0 -4.0%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 129.3 -2.6%
- Rail Freight Carloads 281,788 +1.5%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,748,380 +31.3%
- US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 89.8 +.9 point
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 43.0% -1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +1.5%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth +.4%
Leading Sectors
- Networking +6.3%
- Computer Hardware +4.8%
- Energy +4.6%
- Alt Energy +4.5%
- Healthcare Providers +3.8%
Lagging Sectors
- Biotech -1.6%
- Airlines -2.5%
- Homebuilding -2.7%
- Medical Equipment -4.0%
- Gold & Silver -6.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (80)
- FIVN, ATOM, TEAM, WOLF, LWLG, XNDU, TWLO, BAND, AXTI, ETON, MRAM, NUTX, RDDT, AAOI, NVT, NBIS, VEEV, MLYS, BTSG, CWST, EHC, NICE, MXL, TRN, NVTS, DCBO, ARVN, CBOE, CSIQ, TWO, NVCR, GRRR, DDOG, CORT, GTLB, NAVN, MGNI, VIAV, CRWV, FIG, DXYZ, ZM, FSLR, ORN, ACHC, ILMN, STX, PRCH, EMN, AMBQ, AIG, MTZ, ADTN, SIMO, PHAT, ARDT, GLXY, XHR, THC, AAPL, CELC, TSLA, NOK, OPRA, UPWK, SHIP, BSTZ, EL, NVO, RMAX, UAMY, LLY, MTRN, FLYW and SNOW
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (40)
- AOSL, MPWR, TSCO, IDCC, FLS, PH, FLGT, EGO, JOE, SYK, CLB, COHU, SPXC, CRI, NMIH, CNK, RIVN, HCC, IRTC, SNDX, ORKA, MMSI, IMAX, LAZ, AX, FET, CLX, ALHC, INGM, BIO, PWP, RYAN, DLB, ATMU, RBLX, CBIO, TREE and SMMT
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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