Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 7,722.7 -.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 51,176.9 -1.3%

• NASDAQ 27,190.9 +.5%

• Russell 2000 2,832. -.2%

• NYSE FANG+ 19,211.6 -.7%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 305.4 -1.7%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 38.8 -1.4%

• Wilshire 5000 76,132.5 -.2%

• Russell 1000 Growth 5,117.6 +.7%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,452.6 -1.0%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 899.4 -1.9%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 274.5 +.4% 
  

• NYSE Technology 10,261.5 +1.6%

• Transports 20,009.8 +2.2%

• Utilities 1,018.0 +.8%

• MSCI Europe Banks 135.6 -5.3%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 67.92 -.3%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 264.8 -.2%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 138.2 +.1%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 609,303 -.6%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 6.0 -9.2%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -1,244 -94

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -16.7 -7.3%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 141,106 +3.8%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,841,811 -5.8%

• Total Put/Call .77 +2.7%

• OEX Put/Call .81 unch.

• Equity Put/Call .71 +14.5%

• NYSE Arms 1.16 +13.7%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 137.0 -.2%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.06 -18.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.18 -29.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 15.3 +3.8%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .70 -8.3%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 11.5 +13.0%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.21 +3.2%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.69 +.8%

• Smart Money Flow Index 16,607.5 +4.0%
• CFTC Weekly Equity Positioning Sentiment Gauge(0-100) 42.0 -7.0

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.891 Trillion n/a

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$5.783 Million

• AAII % Bulls 34.6 +5.8%

• AAII % Bears 46.5 -3.3%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 31.0 (FEAR) -5.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 410.1 -2.0%

• Crude Oil 91.5/bbl. -1.0%

• Reformulated Gasoline 331.6 +4.0%

• Natural Gas 3.04 -5.4%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 78.2 USD/Megawatt -13.4% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 76.24 euros/megawatt-hour +7.9%
  

• Heating Oil 455.0 -5.3% 
• Newcastle Coal 149.3 (1,000/metric ton) +5.6%

• Gold 4,144.2 -3.3%
• Silver 60.5 -5.9%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 173.4 -4.3%

• Copper 658.5 -2.8%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 401.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.7%

• China Iron Ore Spot 91.7 USD/Metric Tonne -3.4%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 19,025.0 USD/metric tonne -8.1%
• Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index .98(price per million tokens) +1.0% 
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR5 16Gb 1Gx16 49.6 -.8%  

• CME Lumber 526.50 -1.2%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,565.2 -.6%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 352.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 441.0 USD/Short Ton -2.5%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Forecast +3.7% -140.0 basis points

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 8.4 -.1 percentage point

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.9 -3.0%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 181.7 +20.0% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 75.0 +15.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 20.0% -70.0 percentage points

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 160.6 -16.9%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.0 -.3
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(16 of 500 reporting) +178.0% n/a

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 406.46 +n/a:  Growth Rate +23.9% +n/a percentage point, P/E 19.0 -n/a
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 16.30% +1.0 basis point
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(1 of 10 reporting) +1,013.1% +n/a
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 1,079.47 +n/a: Growth Rate +60.8% +n/a percentage point, P/E 17.8 -n/a

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.7 -8.8 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 74.5 -8.4 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 24.60 +6.7 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.5-3.75%, 77.3%(+1.7 percentage points) chance of no change, 22.7%(-1.7 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.0-4.25% on 10/28

• US Dollar Index 101.9 +.8%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,920.9 -.2%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 84,079 -.3%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 203.7 -.9%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.10 -.25%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 44.75 +14.0 basis points

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 5.28% +12.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 4.20% +4.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.696 Trillion -.1%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.871 Billion +8.3%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.84 +13.1%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 201.0 +5.8%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 115.0 +23.0 basis points
• France Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 85.6 +46.3% 
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 26.4 +29.5%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.8 +9.1%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 131.4 +3.6%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 59.3 -.2%
• Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.8 +.7%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.0 +2.0%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.6 -1.3%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 120.4 -.6%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.5% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.6% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.6% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.0% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.02% -38.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.60% +10.0 basis points
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.75 +25.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.36 +4.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 24.75 -2.75 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -15.0 unch.

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.5 -5.0 basis points

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 60.2 +3.3% 
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 68.8 -1.4%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 155.0 +49.8%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 447.5 +5.6% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 222.0 +4.0

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 71.9 +9.7%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 167.4 +11.0%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 124.0 +5.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 563.0 +12.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .43 +1.0 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +5.7% +30.0 basis points

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,406.7B -3.8%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 200,000 -1.2%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.7 -2.8%

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.25% +16.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 213,600 -6.0%

• Weekly Retail Sales +8.20% unch.
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +19.0% +3.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $150.8M +31.1%

• Nationwide Gas $4.40/gallon -.09/gallon 
• Nationwide Diesel $6.37/gallon -.17/gallon 

• Baltic Dry Index 3,140.0 -8.4%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,433.9/40 ft Box -.8%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,923.9 +1.4%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 500.0 -4.8%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 103.5 +.5%

• Rail Freight Carloads 301,610 +.1%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,723,082 +38.8% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 87.8 +1.0 point
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 42.0% +1.0 percentage point

Best Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Growth +1.2%

Worst Performing Style

• Large-Cap Value -1.1%

Leading Sectors

• Lithography/Photonics +7.7%

• Networking +4.3%
• Semis +3.9%

• Cyber Security +3.8%
  

• Energy +2.9%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Oil Service -2.9%

• Pharma -3.6%
  

• Airlines -5.1%

• Gold & Silver -5.8%
  

• Gambling -7.4%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (34)

• XRPN, MXL, SYNA, WOLF, WNC, VSH, RXO, AZTA, VECO, IBRX, ELMT, ALGM, HPE, SPCX, AAOI, QMCO, QGEN, STM, VIAV, SMTC, LW, NTAP, AVT, ARW, LSCC, CRDO, ON, TECK, HLIO, MATW, USFD, AVLN, ARHS, CLMT and PDO

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (14)

• BBSI, HQH, RIVN, NKE, GRND, DBVT, MMYT, NKTR, AXGN, GDS, TH, WDC, STX and IART

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change