Friday, February 12, 2021

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:       
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC:
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MarketWatch.com:     
Fox News:
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Zero Hedge: 
TheGatewayPundit.com:

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 3,917.33 +.75%*


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 

Indices
  • DJIA 31,366 +.73%
  • NASDAQ 14,030.77 +1.27%
  • Russell 2000 2,283.58 +2.21%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 63.09 +2.94%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 337.35 +3.46%
  • Wilshire 5000 41,581 +1.32%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,550.98 +.83%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,419.32 +1.68%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 672.62 -.39%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,409.11 +.45%
  • NYSE Technology 4,177.59 +3.21%
  • Transports 13,167.45 +2.56%
  • Utilities 854.36 -1.65%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 63.55 +2.0%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 57.57 +2.65%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,357.47 +.35%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 923.99 +.14%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 457,213 +1.06%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,848 +832
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -41.41 +4.6%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 499,174 -1.08%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,389,677 +3.15%
  • Total Put/Call .80 +1.4%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.05 -53.0%
  • ISE Sentiment 131.0 +8.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .60 -45.4
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 2,666.0 +334.0 points
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.5 -1.44%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.24 -1.11%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.32 -1.56%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.51 -3.6%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,304.77 +1.11%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.317 Trillion +.14%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -12.655 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 45.5 +21.7%
  • AAII % Bears 26.3 -26.1%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 185.41 +2.2%
  • Crude Oil 59.68 +4.5%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 169.82 +2.53%
  • Natural Gas 2.95 +1.94%
  • Heating Oil 177.73 +3.37%
  • Gold 1,823.30 +.48%
  • Silver 27.37 +1.26%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 225.18 +4.2
  • Copper 378.25 +3.9%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 418.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.72%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 152.88 USD/Metric Tonne +7.62%
  • Lumber 980.0 +6.77%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,101.52 +.1%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +4.5% -.2 percentage point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +22.1% +.5 percentage point
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 20.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index -2.25 -20.32%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 120.80 +18.0%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 175.76 +.68%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 53.5 -17.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 136.90 -8.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 63.80 -1.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 100.0% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of rate hike on 3/17
  • US Dollar Index 90.42 -.66%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,729.14 +.65%
  • Bitcoin/USD 47,839.0 +26.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.54 +.18%
  • Yield Curve 105.0 unch.
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 1.19% +3.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.402 Trillion +.43%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 11.76 -3.4%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 276.89 -4.3%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 90.5 -7.75 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.24 -.36%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 153.14 +2.87%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 40.37 +.04%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.29 -2.8%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 85.80 +4.6%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 185.03 -.27%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.22% +3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 16.25 -.5 basis point
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 0.0 +4.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.76 -.59%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 388.0 -5.18%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 56.65 -1.9%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 159.25 +1.77%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 65.75 +.5 basis point
  • Markit CMBX BBB-6 75.63 +.33%
  • M1 Money Supply $6.812 Trillion unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,076.60 +1.9%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 823,000 -3.91%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 3.2% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.73% unch.
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 940,400 -4.15%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 44.9 +.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +.7% -250.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.50/gallon +.04/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,313 -1.5%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,061.51 +1.05%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 17.5-12.5%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 132.95 +4.46%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 269,422 -6.88%
Best Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value +3.0%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +.8%
Leading Sectors
  • Marijuana +10.7%
  • Semis +7.9%
  • Education +7.1%
  • Social Media +6.9%
  • Disk Drives +6.1%
Lagging Sectors
  • Gold & Silver +1.0%
  • Foods +.6%
  • Telecom -.5%
  • Gaming -1.0%
  • Utilities -1.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (43)
  • IMGN, FSR, ILMN, RIOT, VUZI, HUBS, INO, ACMR, COHR, CLPT, CCIV, COWN, TWOU, DMTK, GNK, CLVR, GOGO, KOPN, CVLB, CGNX, AMKR, MATX, EXPC, HAAC, SSTK, MHK, TMDX, GBX, ANAB, TWTR, NPTN, VITL, TER, BIO, KALV, PYPL, AAWW, BBIO, MDLA, VRNS, AOSL, STIC and Z
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (7)
  • PRLB, RMO, AHCO, FUSE, NWL, NUS and FOLD
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Stimulus Hopes, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Commodity/Road & Rail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.5 -3.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,665.0 +111.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.55 +.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.51 -.94%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.68 -4.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 125.0 -7.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .77 +6.94%
  • NYSE Arms .60 -53.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.69 -.59%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 500.56 -.46%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.71 +.63%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 90.75 -.75 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.55 -.13%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 159.57 +.41%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 185.03 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 0.0 +.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  67.0 +1.0 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 75.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 63.08 +.08%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 160.95 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 53.50 -6.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 136.9 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 63.8 +2.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.22 +2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at April 28th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at June 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +50 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +37 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/energy/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

Bear Radar

 Style Underperformer:

  • Small-Cap Growth -.1%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Utilities -1.4% 2) Homebuilding -1.1% 3) Insurance -.9%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • CDAK, SGEN, QUOT, CC, CTT, NET, MGTA, NWL, GDDY, FUSE, IIVI and NSP
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) ASHR 2) FLEX 3) FOLD 4) WMB 5) LLNW
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) LLNW 2) FOLD 3) ACB 4) NUS 5) SPCE
Charts:

Bull Radar

 Style Outperformer:

  • Mid-Cap Growth +.6%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Shipping +2.8% 2) Road & Rail +1.9% 3) I-Banks +1.7%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • IMGN, FSR, VCRA, SEER, QS, HUBS, COHR, COWN, ILMN, DMTK, KOPN, TWOU, ACMR, GOGO, INO, CLVR, HAAC, CGNX, MHK, TWTR, SSTK, AMKR, WCC, AOSL, VITL, REKR and IRDM
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) AMKR 2) UFS 3) WMB 4) XXII 5) VG
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) HUBS 2) FSR 3) IMGN 4) VCRA 5) ALB
Charts: