Friday, February 12, 2021

Stocks Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Stimulus Hopes, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Commodity/Road & Rail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.5 -3.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,665.0 +111.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.55 +.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.51 -.94%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.68 -4.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 125.0 -7.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .77 +6.94%
  • NYSE Arms .60 -53.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.69 -.59%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 500.56 -.46%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.71 +.63%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 90.75 -.75 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.55 -.13%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 159.57 +.41%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 185.03 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 0.0 +.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  67.0 +1.0 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 75.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 63.08 +.08%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
  • Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 160.95 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 53.50 -6.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 136.9 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 63.8 +2.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.22 +2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at April 28th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at June 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +50 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +37 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/energy/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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