Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on US Economic Data, Valuation Worries, Technical Selling, Tech/Alt Energy Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.2 +2.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,479.0 +30.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.31 +.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.7 -1.3%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.4 +.39%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 129.0 +3.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .77 +16.7%
  • NYSE Arms .87 -47.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.59 -.49%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 505.11 +.02%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.63 -.74%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 94.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.65 +.23%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 161.04 -.34%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 185.29 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 0.0 +.75 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  65.75 +.75 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 75.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.90 +.19%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 104.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 161.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.17%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 62.10 -10.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 139.3 -2.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 59.60 -5.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at April 28th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at June 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -267 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -107 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On loses in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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