Monday, September 30, 2024

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Large-Cap Growth -.5%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Electric Vehicles +3.9% 2) Digital Health +1.2% 3) Airlines +.4%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • CAPR, JKS, FUTU, NOAH, TAL, ZK, SDA, PGY, RPD, CORT, DJT, CPF, ZTO, DQ, ACMR, ZIM, ASPN, CSIQ, CPRI, ICUI and EDU
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) TAL 2) TIGR 3) ITOS 4) AHR 5) MCHI
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) EMKR 2) AQST 3) CORT 4) ZIM 5) NIO
Sector ETFs With Most Positive Money Flow:
  • 1) XLU 2) XOP 3) IGV 4) XRT 5) VGT
Charts:

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (AYI)/4.27
  • (MKC)/.67
  • (PAYX)/1.14
  • (UNFI)/-.08
After the Close: 
  • (CALM)/3.36
  • (LW)/.72
  • (NKE)/.52
  • (RGP)/.01
Economic Releases

10:00 am EST

  • Construction Spending MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.3% decline in July. 
  • JOLTS Job Openings for Aug. is estimated to fall to 7660K versus 7673K in July.
  • ISM Manufacturing for Sept. is estimated to rise to 47.5 versus 47.2 in Aug.
  • ISM Prices Paid for Sept. is estimated to fall to 53.5 versus 54.0 in Aug.

Afternoon:

  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for Sept. is estimated to rise to 15.68M versus 15.13M in Aug.

Upcoming Splits

  • (SMCI) 10-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The VP debate, Fed's Bostic speaking, Fed's Barkin speaking, Fed's Collins speaking, Fed's Cook speaking, Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3Q update, API weekly crude oil stock report, weekly US retail sales reports, Dallas Fed PCE for Aug., Dallas Fed Services Revenues for Sept., Texas Services Sector Outlook for Sept., Wolfe Utilities/Midstream/Clean Energy Conference could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +11.6% Above 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 11.7 -.1
  • 6 Sectors Declining, 5 Sectors Rising
  • 45.0% of Issues Advancing, 52.9% Declining 
  • TRIN/Arms .82 unch.
  • Non-Block Money Flow -$176.4M
  • 131 New 52-Week Highs, 10 New Lows
  • 61.1% (+.02%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 66.0 -2.0
Other:
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 58.4 +4.5%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 227.3 -.51%
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 19,781.5 +.22%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 74.0 (GREED) +6.0
  • 1-Day Vix 9.92 -25.0%
  • Vix 16.7 -1.5%
  • Total Put/Call .76 unch.

Sunday, September 29, 2024

Monday Watch

Around X:

  • @elonmusk
  • @BehizyTweets
  • @rawsalerts
  • @TPostMillennial
  • @HannahGoetztv
  • @chuckcallesto
  • @rondeauLivia
  • @nicksortor
  • @DMichaelTripi
  • @MJTruthUltra
  • Biolab Facility up in Flames in Conyers, Georgia. • The initial fire was caused when water from a “malfunctioning sprinkler” came into contact with a water-reactive chemical, leading to a “chemical reaction” and a fire on the roof of the plant. Despite initial containment efforts, the fire reignited, escalating the situation. (video)
  • @GuntherEagleman
  • @KanekoaTheGreat
  • @Kanthan2030
  • @PeterSweden7
  • @FrankLuntz
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @TonySeruga
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -1.5% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 69.0 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 59.25 +.75 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 110.6 USD/Metric Tonne +8.4%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 39.1 +.03%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 56.2 +.5%.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 19.1 -.8%. 
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures +.16%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.25%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by technology and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the week.

Friday, September 27, 2024

Monday's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (CCL)/1.17
After the Close: 
  • None of note
Economic Releases

9:45 am EST

  • The MNI Chicago PMI for Sept. is estimated to rise to 46.4 versus 46.1 in Aug.

10:30 am EST

  • The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index for Sept. is estimated to fall to -10.6 versus -9.7 in Aug.

Upcoming Splits

  • (SMCI) 10-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Powell speaking, Fed's Bowman speaking, end of 3Q, (AFRM) investor meeting, (RMD) investor day and the (FRPT) annual meeting could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running +8.8% Above 100-Day Average 
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 11.8 +1.9
  • 2 Sectors Declining, 9 Sectors Rising
  • 72.4% of Issues Advancing, 25.4% Declining 
  • TRIN/Arms .90 -2.2%
  • Non-Block Money Flow +$194.5M
  • 193 New 52-Week Highs, 2 New Lows
  • 62.4% (+4.1%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 68.0 +1.0
Other:
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 57.6 +.3%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index 228.5 -.12%
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 19,710.6 -1.0%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 68.0 (GREED) -3.0
  • 1-Day Vix 10.7 +.8%
  • Vix 15.8 -4.7%
  • Total Put/Call .86 +11.7%