Friday, May 28, 2010

Bear Radar


Style Underperformer:

  • Small-Cap Value (-1.64%)
Sector Underperformers:
  • Oil Service (-5.37%), Networking (-2.67%) and Banks (-2.25%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
  • FMX, OII, TTI, BP, MBT, BCSI, QNST, QSII, ATPG, RVBD, PANL, PMTC, NTAP, AVGO, SPWRB, FFIV, WBSN, FOSL, BIIB, ATHR, MTSC, TEVA, TECD, SIVB, ASML, PXQ, UVV, PBS, HIT, NE, GDP, ESV and DRQ
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) ATPG 2) MDR 3) GGB 4) AMT 5) JCG
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) BP 2) XOM 3) GS 4) RIG 5) EXC

Bull Radar


Style Outperformer:

  • Mid-Cap Value (-.54%)
Sector Outperformers:
  • Utilities (+.26%), Drugs (+.24%) and Education (+.04%)
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • OVTI, VVUS, APKT, NFLX, PTEN, JCG, NX, MDU, KR, NBR and ESL
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) SEED 2) AGN 3) DECK 4) ESI 5) OVTI
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) AAPL 2) IBM 3) BA 4) COST 5) GOOG

Friday Watch

Evening Recommendations
Citigroup:
  • Upgraded (MFC) to Buy, target $21.
  • Upgraded (MDU) to Buy, target $22.50.
  • Reiterated Buy on (TRV), target $61.
  • Reiterated Buy on (TIF), target $55.
Thomas Weisel:
  • Upgraded (DECK) to Overweight, target $170.
Pacific Crest:
  • Upgraded (XLNX) to Outperform, target $33.
Night Trading
  • Asian indices are +.75% to +1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 128.50 -17.0 basis points.
  • S&P 500 futures -.25%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.25%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (QSII)/.49
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Personal Income for April is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.3% gain in March.
  • Personal Spending for April is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.6% gain in March.
  • The PCE Core for April is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.1% gain in March.
9:45 am EST
  • Chicago Purchasing Manager for May is estimated to fall to 61.0 versus a reading of 63.8 in April.
9:55 am EST
  • The Final Univ. of Mich. Consumer Confidence reading for May is estimated at 73.3 versus a prior estimate for 73.3.
Upcoming Splits
  • (IDSA) 3-for-2
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The NAPM-Milwaukee Index and (LOW) shareholders meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Bear Radar


Style Underperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value (+2.20%)
Sector Underperformers:
  • Education (-.91%), Medical Equipment (+.95%) and Defense (+1.42%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
  • ESI, EDMC, LOPE, RMBS, SLXP, VRTX, MON, BIG and BCA
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) RMBS 2) WAG 3) WY 4) MON 5) NVS
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) BP 2) BGP 3) MON 4) RIG 5) DIS

Bull Radar


Style Outperformer:

  • Mid-Cap Value (+2.79%)
Sector Outperformers:
  • Disk Drives (+5.50%), Oil Tankers (+5.25%) and Steel (+5.22%)
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • PT, MMR, IVN, SGY, BP, NTAP, ORBK, MSFT, RUE, COST, EXXI, QSFT, HIT, PAY, JKK, WBD, TIF, JAS, IGW, GCO and ABM
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) RF 2) TIF 3) RMBS 4) RRI 5) NOK
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) TIF 2) HJZ 3) COST 4) MSFT 5) NTAP

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Thursday Watch


Night Trading
  • Asian indices are -.50% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 155.50 -5.0 basis points.
  • S&P 500 futures +.55%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.54%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (NOVL)/.07
  • (OVTI)/.17
  • (JCG)/.57
  • (GES)/.49
  • (BCSI)/.40
  • (COST)/.66
  • (HNZ)/.59
  • (BIG)/.67
  • (TIF)/.37
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • 1Q GDP is estimated to rise +3.4% versus a prior estimate of a +3.2% gain.
  • 1Q Personal Consumption is estimated to rise +3.8% versus a prior estimate of a +3.6% gain.
  • 1Q GDP Price Index is estimated to rise +.9% versus a prior estimate of a +.9% gain.
  • 1Q Core PCE is estimated to rise +.6% versus a prior estimate of a .6% gain.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 455K versus 471K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 4613K versus 4625K prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • (IDSA) 3-for-2
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Bullard speaking, $31 Bln 7-Year Treasury Note Auction, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, Citi Healthcare Conference, UBS Oil/Gas Conference, Barclays Communications/Media/Technology Conference, (BRS) analyst meeting, (NEM) investor day, (NVLS) Q2 Mid-Quarter Update and the (AEL) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by real estate and automaker shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.