Friday, December 04, 2020

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:          
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC: 
MarketWatch.com:      
Fox News:
Zero Hedge:
@kylenabecker:
TheGatewayPundit.com:

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 3,691.48 +1.5%




 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com. 
 
Indices
  • DJIA 30,131.56 +.81%
  • NASDAQ 12,442.96 +1.97%
  • Russell 2000 1,885.77 +1.56%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 57.57 +4.89%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 225.45 +2.54%
  • Wilshire 5000 38,373.90 +1.52%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,353.50 +1.46%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,338.92 +1.63%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 689.89 +.48%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,352.70 -.09%
  • NYSE Technology 3,576.18 +2.58%
  • Transports 12,720.40 +1.37%
  • Utilities 853.14 -2.35%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 62.75 +3.17%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 50.71 +1.56%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,292.13 +.32%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 915.84 +.21%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 436,827 +.65%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,021 +100
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -43.26 unch.
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 522,639 +8.7%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,083,018 -.04%
  • Total Put/Call .65 -12.2%
  • OEX Put/Call 2.54 -4.52%
  • ISE Sentiment 129.0 -58.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .92 -45.2
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 1,578.0 +259.0 points
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.70 -.43%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.78 -4.23%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.2 +6.96%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.35 +1.4%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,009.39 -.88%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.320 Trillion -.09%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$.487 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 49.1 +3.9%
  • AAII % Bears 22.7 -17.4%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 159.89 -1.02%
  • Crude Oil 46.05 +.59%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 126.51 +.04%
  • Natural Gas 2.55 -9.7%
  • Heating Oil 139.93 +.71%
  • Gold 1,840.0 +3.1%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 210.45 +2.07%
  • Copper 352.5 +3.4%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 385.0 USD/Metric Tonne +21.8%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 144.4 USD/Metric Tonne +14.7%
  • Lumber 678.30 +7.3%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 962.57 -2.3%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +11.17% +.06 percentage point
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +11.0% +1.4 percentage points
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 25.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index -2.31 +19.5%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 180.42 +23.5%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 165.37 +.38%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 74.30 -5.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 136.70 +19.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 60.3 -3.2 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 100.0% chance of no change, 0.0% chance of rate hike on 12/16
  • US Dollar Index 90.63 -1.2%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,705.83 +.66%
  • Bitcoin/USD 19,009.06 +11.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.93 +1.5%
  • Yield Curve 81.5 +13.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield .97% +13.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.182 Trillion +.07%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 15.08 +1.35%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 323.40 -.84%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 117.0 -1.25 basis points
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.9 -4.1%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 153.02 -7.5%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.22 +2.2%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.76 -3.8%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 75.08 -5.6%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 182.04 +.78%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90% +14.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 15.0 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 -1.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 49.88 -3.22%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 438.0 -5.83%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 54.90 -8.75%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 158.32 -4.19%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 70.25 -3.75 basis points
  • Markit CMBX BBB-6 71.0 -.18%
  • M1 Money Supply $6.231 Trillion +8.68%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 968.90 -1.5%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 739,500 -1.5%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 3.8% -80.0 basis points
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 2.71% -1.0 basis point
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 8458,200 -.63%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 49.3 -.3 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.7% +180.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.16/gallon +.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,189 -3.33%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,145.67 +3.47%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 17.50 +16.7%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 80.4 -17.9%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 246,504 -18.1%
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +2.2%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Disk Drives +8.3%
  • Computer Hardware +7.4%
  • Airlines +6.4%
  • Oil Service +6.2%
  • Semis +5.6%
Lagging Sectors
  • Telecom unch. 
  • Education -.2%
  • Utilities -1.7%
  • Homebuilding -3.8%
  • Alt Energy -7.2%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (31)
  • STRO, CPE, DOMO, SNOW, SUMO, TRNE, NCR, VERI, ARCT, X, CLDR, HCAC, APLS, NVCR, TWST, RMG, ROAD, PSTG, FEAC, LCA, DOCU, SI, RMBS, MU, RMBS, NS, DOCU and FTAI
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (2)
  • EPR and OLLI
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Vaccine Hopes, Short-Covering, Energy/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.8 -2.1%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,564.0 +100.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.90 +.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.4 +1.2%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.7 unch.
  • ISE Sentiment Index 119.0 -21.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .65 unch.
  • NYSE Arms .88 -15.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.11 +.79%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 635.79 -1.7%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 54.55 -4.4%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 117.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.07 -.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 158.85 -1.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 182.04 +.35%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 -2.25 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  70.5 -.5 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.13 +.7%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% unch.
  • Yield Curve 75.75 -2.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 144.10 USD/Metric Tonne +2.7%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 74.30 -.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 136.7 +1.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 60.30 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +3.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +74 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -22 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -31 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:
  • Volume Running +20.0% Above 100-Day Average
  • 7 Sectors Rising, 4 Sectors Declining
  • 74.5% of Issues Advancing, 22.6% Declining
  • 193 New 52-Week Highs, 0 New Lows
  • 84.8% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 56.5% 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 1,585.0 +21.0 points
  • Vix 20.7 -2.5%
  • Total Put/Call .65 umch.
  • TRIN/Arms 1.16 +11.5%