- Volume Running -23.5% Below 100-Day Average
- 9 Sectors Rising, 2 Sectors Declining
- 59.3% of Issues Advancing, 37.2% Declining
- 232 New 52-Week Highs, 4 New Lows
- 89.3% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
- Average 14-Day RSI 54.3%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 3,150.0 -26.0 points
- Vix 17.9 +.2%
- Total Put/Call .57 -17.4%
- TRIN/Arms .86 -27.1%
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Tuesday, April 06, 2021
Mid-Day Market Internals
NYSE Composite Index:
Monday, April 05, 2021
Tuesday Watch
Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:
- China Tests Biden With South China Sea Tactic That Misled Obama.
- Mexico Seeks to Ban Outsourcing After Agreement With Business.
- Asia Stocks Set to Rise After U.S. High; Oil Drops: Markets Wrap.
- Top Democrats Float Alternative to Biden’s Corporate-Tax Plan.
- BlackRock Breaks Wall Street Ranks With Planned Racial Audit.
- NYC Tops Weekly Dose Goal; U.K. Set for Reopening: Virus Update.
- U.S. Airlines Are Bringing Back More Pilots as Travel Demand Rebounds.
- Automakers Want Aid Set Aside for Car-Grade U.S. Chip Production.
Wall Street Journal:
- Yellen Calls for Global Minimum Corporate Tax Rate.
- GOP Criticizes Corporate Pushback on Voting Laws.
- Anatomy of a Biden Tax Hike.
- China Looms Large in Biden Infrastructure Plan.
- China Creates Its Own Digital Currency, a First for Major Economy.
Fox News:
- Kemp believes Abrams has buyer's remorse after MLB boycott over Ga. law, accuses her of profiting.
- Rand Paul on MLB-Georgia controversy: 'If they want to boycott us, let's boycott them'.
- More MLB backlash: Texas governor won't throw first pitch at Rangers' opening back.
CNBC.com:
- Tom Lee explains why he expects to see a ‘face-ripper rally’ in April.
- Google will stop using Oracle’s finance software and adopt SAP instead.
- March jobs report gives the Fed room to keep interest rates low, Jim Cramer says.
- The Fed could come under fire for easy policy while the economy soars and inflation rises.
- GM unveils electric Hummer SUV topping $110,000.
- Tim Cook drops some hints on Apple’s car plans, shares what he thinks of Elon Musk and Tesla.
Zero Hedge:
- Credit Suisse Dumping Huge Archegos Blocks; Liquidating Millions In VIACS, VIPS And FTCH.
- Sen. Rubio Hammers Hypocrite MLB Commish, Asks: Will You Give Up Augusta Golf Club Membership?
- South Korea's LG Abandons Smartphones As Electric Vehicles Business Sees Explosive Growth.
- Is Outside Air COVID-Safe? Are Masks Needed Outdoors?
- Japan Poised To Allow Coast Guard To Fire On Chinese Vessels In New Legislation .
- Monetary Policy At A Crossroad: Policymakers Need To Break Promise Of Easy Money To Avoid Boom-Bust.
- "It Was Intentionally False": 60 Minutes Slammed For Fabricating "Pay-For-Play" Narrative Against Gov. DeSantis.
- Jobs To Reach Pre-Pandemic Levels By Year-End: BofA.
- New York Millionaires To Pay Highest Income Tax In The Country.
- The Hunter Biden Show: Why Biden's Most "Beautiful Thing" May Be Media Collusion.
- Prosecutors Ask Jurors To Dismiss George Floyd Autopsy Findings.
- "Gestapo Not Allowed Here!" Viral Video Shows Canadian Pastor Barring 'Covid Police' From Entering Church.
- Dollar Dumped; Crude Crushed; Bonds, Bitcoin, & Big-Tech Bid.
Newsmax:
TheGatewayPundit.com:
- Psaki Refuses To Say if Joe Biden Will Stop Lying About Georgia’s New Election Law (VIDEO).
- Breaking: Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin Rejects Joe Biden’s Corporate Tax Increase – Says More Democrats Will Join Him.
- Tim Cook from Apple Condemns Voter ID Law in Georgia — Forgets It Takes a Valid ID to Get an Apple Card.
- United Airlines Inserts Itself Into Political Arena, Condemns Voter Integrity Laws.
The Epoch Times:
- Chinese Officials Trying to Dodge COVID-19 Vaccinations, Citing Health Reasons: Leaked Documents.
- Philippines Issues Tough Statement to China as South China Sea Tensions Intensify.
Digital Blackboard:
Worldometer:
Rt Covid-19:
KFF:
Worldometer:
Rt Covid-19:
KFF:
Night Trading
Morning Preview Links
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.25 -.5 basis point.
- China Sovereign CDS 32.75 unch.
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.44 +.01%.
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,176.0 +1.0 point.
- Volatility Index(VIX) futures 21.5 +.04%.
- FTSE 100 futures +.94%.
- S&P 500 futures -.02%.
- NASDAQ 100 futures +.13%.
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
- (GBX)/-.37
- (LNN)/.86
- (PAYX)/.92
After the Close:
- (PACW)/.91
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
- JOLTS Job Openings for Feb. is estimated to fall to 6900 versus 6917 in Jan.
Upcoming Splits
- (AVNW) 2-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
- The China Services PMI report, RBA rate decision, Eurozone Retail Sales report, weekly US retail sales reports, Wells Fargo Biotech Corporate Access Day and the (AMAT) investor meeting could also impact global trading today.
- 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
Stocks Surging into Afternoon on US Economic Optimism, Stable Long-Term Rates, Technical Buying, Tech/Transport Sector Strength
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
- Volume: Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 18.3 +5.7%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,150.0 +8.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.54 -.06%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.9 +.65%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.3 -3.3%
- ISE Sentiment Index 120.0 +16.0 points
- Total Put/Call .69 -1.43%
- NYSE Arms 1.19 -33.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.15 +.78%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 459.52 -2.97%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.08 +.25%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 96.0 -1.0 basis point
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.21 -.61%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 176.65 -1.56%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 189.0 +.05%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.5 basis point
- TED Spread 18.75 -1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 -1.5 basis points
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 69.75 -1.25 basis points
- IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.42 +.33%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +1.0 basis point
- Yield Curve 153.0 -1.0 basis point
- China Iron Ore Spot 160.30 USD/Metric Tonne -.27%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 40.60 +4.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 169.90 -2.4 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 25.90 +.3 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.36 -1.0 basis point
- 100.0% chance of no change at June 16th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Sept. 22nd meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +81 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -51 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +6 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/industrial/bioetch sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: None
- Market Exposure: 100% Net Long
Morning Market Internals
NYSE Composite Index:
- Volume Running -24.5% Below 100-Day Average
- 10 Sectors Rising, 1 Sector Declining
- 61.7% of Issues Advancing, 35.0% Declining
- 251 New 52-Week Highs, 10 New Lows
- 89.1% of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
- Average 14-Day RSI 53.5%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 3,158.0 +13.0 points
- Vix 17.8 +2.8%
- Total Put/Call .62 -11.4%
- TRIN/Arms .97 -45.8%
Sunday, April 04, 2021
Monday Watch
Night Trading
Upcoming Splits
Normal:
- Asian indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.75 unch.
- China Sovereign CDS 32.75 unch.
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.19 -.05%.
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,092.0 -52.0 points.
- Volatility Index(VIX) futures 21.57 -2.1%.
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures n/a.
- S&P 500 futures +.57%.
- NASDAQ 100 futures +.27%
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
After the Close:Before the Open:
- None of note
- None of note
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
- The ISM Services Index for March is estimated to rise to 58.5 versus 55.5 in Feb.
- Factory Orders for Feb. is estimated to fall -.5% versus a +2.6% gain in Jan.
- None of note
- The Japan Consumer Confidence Index and the (F) US sales conference call could also impact trading today.
Normal:
- 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
Thursday, April 01, 2021
Friday Watch
Night Trading
Morning Preview Links
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- Asian equity indices are +.25% to +1.25% on average.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.75 -.25 basis point.
- China Sovereign CDS 32.75 -2.0 basis points.
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.31 +.01%.
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,106.0 +35.0 points.
- Volatility Index(VIX) futures 21.75 -1.29%.
- FTSE 100 futures n/a.
- S&P 500 futures +.14%.
- NASDAQ 100 futures +.21%.
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
- None of note
After the Close:
- None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for March is estimated at 650K versus 379K in Feb.
- The Unemployment Rate for March is estimated at 6.0% versus 6.2% in Feb.
- Average Hourly Earnings MoM for March is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.2% gain in Feb.
Upcoming Splits
Other Potential Market Movers- None of note
- The Eurozone Manufacturing PMI could also impact global trading today.
- Closed
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