Sunday, June 22, 2008

Weekly Outlook

Click here for Wall St. Week Ahead by Reuters.

Click here for stocks in focus for Monday by MarketWatch.

There are several economic reports of note and a number of significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.

Economic reports for the week include:

Mon. – None of note

Tues. – S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index, Consumer Confidence, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, House Price Index, weekly retail sales

Wed. – Durable Goods Orders, New Home Sales, FOMC rate decision, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, weekly EIA energy inventory data report

Thur. – Final 1Q GDP, Final 1Q, Personal Consumption, Final 1Q GDP Price Index, Final 1Q Core PCE, Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report

Fri. – Personal Income, Personal Spending, PCE Core, Univ. of Mich. Consumer Confidence

Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:

Mon. – Walgreen Co.(WAG)

Tues. – Jabil Circuit(JBL), Darden Restaurant(DRI), Sonic Corp.(SONC), Kroger Co.(KR)

Wed. – Monsanto(MON), General Mills(GIS), Nike Inc.(NKE), Oracle Corp.(ORCL), CKE Restaurants(CKE), Herman Miller(MLHR), Red Hat Inc.(RHT), Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY), American Greeting(AM)

Thur. Discover Financial(DFS), Lennar Corp.(LEN), ConAgra Foods(CAG), Palm Inc.(PALM), Christopher & Banks(CBK), Paychex(PAYX), Accenture(ACN), Rite Aid(RAD), McCormick & Co.(MKC), Micron Tech(MU)

Fri. – KB Home(KBH), Steelcase Inc.(SCS), Finish Line(FINL)

Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:

Mon. – (ECA) analyst meeting, (FEIC) investor meeting, Wachovia Nantucket Equity Conference

Tue. – (ALD) investor day, (POR) analyst day, (RDC) conference call, Wachovia Nantucket Equity Conference, Jeffries Healthcare Conference, Bank of America Utilities Conference, Deutsche Bank Alternative Energy Conference, UBS Global Financial Markets & Technology Conference

Wed. – (PRXL) investor meeting, (WMB) analyst day, (MORN) investment conference, Jeffries Healthcare Conference, Wachovia Nantucket Conference, UBS Global Financial Markets & Technology Conference

Thur. – (MORN) investment conference, (GT) investor meeting, (XLNX) analyst meeting, (AUXL) conference call, (BRCD) technology day, Wachovia Nantucket Conference, Jeffries Healthcare Conference, UBS Insurance Conference

Fri. – (MORN) investment conference, JPMorgan Tobacco Conference, UBS Insurance Conference

BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on a firmer US dollar, lower energy prices, less economic pessimism, a bounce in emerging market shares, a bounce in financial stocks, bargain-hunting and short-covering. My trading indicators are giving mostly bearish signals and the Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.

No comments: