Friday, September 10, 2010

Today's Headlines


Bloomberg:

  • Anglo Irish Bank Subordinated Credit Swaps Rise After Good, Bank Bank Split. Credit-default swaps tied to Anglo Irish Bank Corp.’s subordinated bonds rose, according to data provider CMA. Swaps protecting the riskier, subordinated debt of the nationalized lender climbed 43 basis points to 1,780 as of 4 p.m. in London, while contracts on its senior notes fell 13 basis points to 763, CMA prices show. Credit swaps on European government bonds rose, while contracts linked to the region’s corporate debt declined. The Markit iTraxx Crossover Index of credit-default swaps on 50 mostly junk-rated European companies fell 5.7 basis points to 477.2, the lowest level in a month and little changed in the past week, according to Markit Group Ltd. The cost of insuring financial company debt declined, with the Markit iTraxx Financial Index on the senior debt of 25 banks and insurers falling 6 basis points to 129.5 and the subordinated measure dropping 8 basis points to 193, JPMorgan Chase & Co. prices show. Default swaps to protect Ireland’s government debt rose 9 basis points to 385, according to CMA. The cost of insuring other European sovereign bonds also increased on speculation more governments will be forced to bail out their banking systems. Credit swaps linked to Greece’s bonds added 4 basis points to 893, swaps tied to Spanish debt climbed 2 basis points to 230, Italy rose 3 basis points to 206 and Portugal increased 5 basis points to 339, CMA prices show.
  • Crude Gains After U.S. Pipeline Shut. Oil rose the most in six weeks after a pipeline that carries Canadian crude to refineries in the U.S. Midwest was closed because of a leak. Futures increased as much as 3.1 percent after Enbridge Energy Partners LP shut its Line 6A, part of a system that can transport 670,000 barrels a day from Canada. “It’s all about Enbridge,” said Tom Bentz, a broker with BNP Paribas Commodity Futures Inc. in New York. “It’s a big line, which supplies a bunch of refineries in the Midwest. Depending on how long it is shut, this could put a big-sized crimp on supplies in the region.”
  • Bullishness Surges After Hitting One-Year Low: Chart of the Day. The AAII bullish gauge, which measures data back to 1987, has only doubled in a two-week period eight other times, and this week’s move is the fifth-biggest increase for that timeframe. The largest was in July 2000, when the gauge increased to 65 percent from 26.7 percent.
  • NBC All Action, No Talk as Network Tries to Rebound. A year after its ratings debacle with comedian Jay Leno, NBC has changed course and will air prime-time shows from some of Hollywood’s most expensive producers when the new television season begins this month.
  • Commercial Property Losses Mount as Loan Services Triage Real Estate Debt. Monthly losses on commercial property debt bundled into bonds have doubled since April as loan specialists gave up trying to restructure smaller mortgages, Deutsche Bank AG data show. Average losses on loans packaged into U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities totaled $501 million in August compared with $245 million in April, according to Harris Trifon, a Deutsche Bank analyst in New York who based the estimate on a three-month average. In August 2009, the number was $41 million. “It’s the beginning of a trend,” Trifon said in a telephone interview. “Given the sheer volume of loans in special servicing, there are going to be many loans that are liquidated.”
  • CBOE Asks SEC for Permission to List Options That Expire Within Single Day. CBOE Holdings Inc.(CBOE), operator of the largest U.S. options market, asked regulators for permission to become the nation’s first to list contracts that expire in as little as one day. The daily options would be linked to as many as 200 stocks, exchange-traded funds, exchange-traded notes and indexes, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated Aug. 24. The contracts may have terms of one, two, three or four days, the owner of the Chicago Board Options Exchange said.

Wall Street Journal:
  • Terror Threat More Diverse, Study Says. The terrorist threat faced by the U.S. nine years after the 2001 attacks on New York and Washington is far more difficult to detect but less likely to produce mass-casualty attacks, according to the former leaders of the 9/11 Commission.
  • New Corporate Tax Regime Part of EU Market Reform - Draft. The European Commission is planning to come forward with a proposal for a pan-European tax regime for corporations next year, according to a draft document seen by Dow Jones Newswires.
  • Bullard Fed Ready for Further Action if Necessary. A top Federal Reserve official said Friday the central bank has moved closer to providing additional support to the economy via new asset purchases, although he added he doesn’t expect that action to become necessary.
  • U.S. Sees Heightened Threat in Mexico. To Combat 'Narcoinsurgency,' Obama Administration Considers New Military and Intelligence Aid Against Drug Gangs.
CNBC:
New York Post:
  • Alpha Titans Says Hedge Funds Pulling Back From Uncertain Markets. Apparently, even the biggest hedge funds are sitting on the sidelines. The latest sign that hedge fund managers are pulling back from tumultuous investing waters comes in the form of an August letter to investors from Alpha Titans, a fund of hedge funds that invests in tops hedge funds such as SAC Capital, Paulson & Co., Citadel, DE Shaw and Bridgewater. "Many investors are resting on the sidelines with few hot performance numbers to chase," according to a copy of the letter obtained by The Post.
Business Insider:
Washington Post:
  • Capitol Hill Employees Owed $9.3 Million in Back Taxes Last Year, Data Show. Capitol Hill employees owed $9.3 million in overdue taxes at the end of last year, a sliver of the $1 billion owed by federal workers nationwide but one with potential political ramifications for members of Congress. The debt among Hill employees has risen at a faster rate than the overall tax debt on the government's books, according to Internal Revenue Service data. It comes at a time when some Republican members are pushing for the firings of government workers who owe the IRS and President Obama has urged a crackdown on delinquent government contractors.
Washington Times:
  • The Special-Interest President. Obama introduces new giveaways for Wall Street and Big Labor. On Tuesday, the Federal Housing Administration announced a "short refinance option" for underwater mortgages - that is, mortgages on which the amount that the homeowner owes is more than the house is worth. Under this new program, the government promises to guarantee what's left of the mortgage's face value after the mortgage holder agrees to write off 10 percent of the principal. For some big Wall Street financial houses, this could represent a major windfall. Some of these firms bought risky mortgages at huge discounts from their face value, often just 40 percent or 50 percent of the amount owed. Say a Wall Street firm paid $250,000 to take over a risky $500,000 mortgage. If the firm agrees to reduce the face value of what is owed by $50,000, the FHA will guarantee the mortgage. Thanks to the protection from default, the loan's value instantly increases from $250,000 to $450,000 - a $200,000 gift to the Wall Street mortgage holder. According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Wall Street giants Goldman Sachs(GS), Citigroup(C), JPMorgan Chase(JPM) and Morgan Stanley(MS) preferred Mr. Obama to Republican opponent John McCain by nearly 3 to 1.
LA Times:
Forbes:
Vix and More:
  • VIX Futures Contango Soars. Extreme contango readings are generally associated with turning points in stocks, which is why in the chart below, I have highlighted the two most extreme VIX futures contango readings.
Newsweek:
Rasmussen Reports:
  • 61% Say Cutting Spending Will Create More Jobs Than Obama's New $50 Billion Stimulus Program. President Obama this week proposed a long-term federal jobs program with a $50 billion price tag, but 61% of U.S. voters say cutting government spending and deficits will do more to create jobs than the president's new program. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 28% think the president's jobs program is a better way to create new jobs.
Politico:
  • Just Don't Call it a 'Stimulus'. President Barack Obama has “no problem” with the idea that he’s trying to stimulate the economy. He’s just not quite willing to call his new economic proposals a stimulus. Obama repeatedly avoided using the word during his Friday news conference, using a grab bag of other terms to describe the $787 billion package that passed in 2009 and the White House’s fresh infrastructure spending proposal.
    Asked by Chip Reid of CBS to explain why officials have tried to “avoid the word ‘stimulus’ like the plague,” Obama defended the first wave of recovery spending enacted last year.
Globe and Mail:
  • Pelosi Tells Canada She Dislikes Fossil Fuels. Nancy Pelosi educates herself about Canada’s oil sands, but makes clear her distaste for fossil fuel. Nancy Pelosi would like to see the United States buy less of what Canada is selling. At a luncheon at the U.S. ambassador’s Ottawa residence on Thursday, the powerful Speaker of the House of Representatives said she is committed to reducing her country’s dependence on fossil fuels – and that includes Canadian crude oil and natural gas. In a casual post-meal conversation with a group that included Laureen Harper, the wife of the Prime Minister, Ms. Pelosi remarked pointedly that she doesn’t like any “fossil” and doesn’t care whose it is or where it comes from. Canada is the largest source of imported fossil fuels into the United States.
Financial Times:
  • America's Public Servants Are Now Its Masters by Mort Zuckerman. There really are two Americas, but they are not captured by the standard class warfare speeches that dramatise the gulf between the rich and the poor. Of the new divisions, one is the gap between employed and unemployed that President Barack Obama seeks to close with yet another $50bn stimulus programme. Another is between workers in the private and public sectors. No guesses which are the more protected. A recent study by the Mayo Research Institute found that “private-sector workers were nearly three times more likely to be jobless than public-sector workers”.
Xinhua:
  • China's employment situation remains "very grave" with 24 million job-seeks for only 12 million openings, citing Yin Chengji, a Minister of Human Resources and Social Security spokesman. People looking for work include 6.3 million fresh graduates from universities and 6 million from high schools.

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