Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Technical Selling, Energy/Hospital Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.07 +.56%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.59 -.30%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.16 -.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.91 +2.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 72.0 -20.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.14 +29.55%
  • NYSE Arms 1.22 -31.07% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.59 -3.56%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.42 -6.13%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.17 -.89%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.42 -2.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 285.87 +1.92%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 318.07 +2.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 22.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.50 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 192.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $77.50/Metric Tonne -.26%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.90 -7.0 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.30 -6.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.97 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +22 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -30 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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