Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Growing Global Growth Fears, Escalating Mideast Tensions, Increasing Ebola Outbreak Concerns, Technology/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.88 +7.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.96 -.56%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.84 +.26%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.04 +7.04%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 -43.17%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -8.25%
  • NYSE Arms 1.01 +14.67% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.07 +1.94%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.43 +4.81%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.07 -.48%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.61 -1.94%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 262.60 +1.42%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 319.36 n/a
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.75 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 184.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $77.50/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.90 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.30 -4.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -183 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -30 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail/medical/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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