Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Short-Covering, Bargain-Hunting, Transport/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.25 -5.64%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.33 -.65%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.35 +.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 70.48 -2.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 71.0 +31.48%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 -35.0%
  • NYSE Arms .95 -33.23% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.85 +1.65%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.18 -.70%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.98 +1.79%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.59 +.92%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 269.44 +.90%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 330.37 +.51%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.50 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 183.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $83.82/Metric Tonne -.42%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 19.40 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -25.30 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 -4 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +3 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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