Thursday, April 30, 2015

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Long-Term Rates, Earnings Worries, Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.45 +7.92%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.06 +1.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.09 +2.13%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 67.28 +.73%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 118.0 +45.68%
  • Total Put/Call 1.01 +6.32%
  • NYSE Arms .62 +3.38% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.86 +1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,079.0 +.66%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.66 -1.91%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.10 -5.45%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.31 -.33%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 297.33 +.57%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 117.86 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 148.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.18/Metric Tonne -1.66%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -62.20 +4.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 11.90 -5.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.6 +.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.94 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -65 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -25 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging market shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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