Thursday, September 17, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Oil Decline, Global Growth Worries, Financial/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.67 -7.87%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.94 +.53%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.05 +1.01%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.07 -.87%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 83.0 -7.87%
  • Total Put/Call .92 -23.97%
  • NYSE Arms 1.51 +325.94% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.91 -1.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,928.0 +.63%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.74 -3.25%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.11 +.38%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 80.11 -.22%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 325.48 -3.0%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.91 +.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +2.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.75 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.0 +7.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -4.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 152.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.37/Metric Tonne +.28%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -27.3 -3.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 15.3 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -24.2 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.59 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.23 -.29
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -42 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -135 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -33 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedge, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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