Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Transport/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.62 -6.72%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.83 -.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.33 -2.07%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.48 -2.65%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 149.0 -1.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.13 +10.78%
  • NYSE Arms .66 -32.94% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.13 -.72%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,906.0 -1.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.12 -1.67%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.68 -1.32%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 82.69 -3.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 344.14 -3.31%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.53 +.27%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 -2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 29.25 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.0 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 148.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.28/Metric Tonne -1.41%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.7 -4.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 20.4 -4.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -24.0 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.57 +1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.84 -.10
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +244 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -116 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +53 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail/medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges 
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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