Thursday, September 10, 2015

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Buyout Speculation, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 24.91 -5.03%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.16 +.73%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.86 +3.71%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.87 +.19%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 +8.57%
  • Total Put/Call 1.15 +12.75%
  • NYSE Arms .77 -62.90% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.07 -1.09%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,897.0 -.41%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.47 +2.42%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.09 +.67%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 86.14 +3.04%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 352.02 -.18%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 117.25 +.26%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 31.25 +3.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 149.0 +5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.01/Metric Tonne +1.43%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -16.6 +.3 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 23.0 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.5 +2.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.60 +5.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.98 -.06
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -124 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -166 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges 
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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