Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Quarter-End Window-Dressing, Short-Covering, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.14 -8.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.91 -.58%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.41 -3.87%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.39 +1.13%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 60.0 -14.29%
  • Total Put/Call .77 -43.48%
  • NYSE Arms .53 -11.06% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 92.88 -.50%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,095.0 -1.35%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 95.62 -1.16%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.47 -3.37%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 90.65 -1.96%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 386.53 -3.99%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.62 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 32.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.0 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.64 +.51%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 142.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.32/Metric Tonne +.48%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.50 -.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 33.0 -2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -25.2 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.42 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.85 +.26
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +152 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -53 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -28 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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