Friday, May 06, 2016

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil Gain, Metals & Mining/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.43 -3.02%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.41 -.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.01 +.27%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.50 -3.66%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 70.0 +16.67%
  • Total Put/Call 1.21 +2.54%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -36.2% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.86 +.47%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 993.0 +7.49%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 100.12 +2.19%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.19 -.10%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.18 +1.16%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 293.76 -.66%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.06 -.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 44.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.22 +.11%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .19% unch.
  • Yield Curve 105.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $58.29/Metric Tonne -3.25%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -36.70 -6.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -11.0 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.80 -1.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.62% -1.0 basis point
  • 19.2% chance of Fed rate hike at July 27 meeting, 32.1% chance at September 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -52 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -84 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: