Monday, July 10, 2017

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Tax/Healthcare Reform Hopes, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil Gain, Tech/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.80 -3.49%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.72 +.16%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.81 -1.26%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.86 -6.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 +23.6%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -7.83%
  • NYSE Arms .74 -49.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.64 -.34%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 485.0 +2.62%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.67 -2.83%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.53 +8.55%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.32 -2.7%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 201.53 -2.16%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 140.02 +.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.5 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.47 +.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 99.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $64.05/Metric Tonne +1.99%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -55.50 +3.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 37.70 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.60 -2.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.73 -2.0 basis points
  • 26.1% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 20 meeting, 27.6% chance at Nov. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +35 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -68 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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