Thursday, July 13, 2017

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Oil Gain, Short-Covering, Biotech/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.10 -1.94%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.73 -.01%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.76 +.13%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 32.09 +3.45%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 +6.82%
  • Total Put/Call .84 +20.0%
  • NYSE Arms .64 -43.78%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.93 -2.61%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 461.0 -1.92%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 50.90 -2.75%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 6.12 -.57%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.76 -1.02%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 196.86 -.61%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 140.04 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.25 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.25 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.03 +.11%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.03% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 98.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $65.91/Metric Tonne +2.9%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -54.70 +1.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 37.20 -.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 13.60 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.78 +3.0 basis points
  • 24.3% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 20 meeting, 25.9% chance at Nov. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +36 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -15 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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