Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Goepolitical Concerns, Profit-Taking, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.6 +.09%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.01 +.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.67 -.13%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 27.07 -3.29%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 153.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .86 +2.38%
  • NYSE Arms .66 +1.94%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.09 -.78%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 426.0 -2.08%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 49.25 -1.01%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 5.15 -2.74%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 17.97 +.14%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 173.32 -1.07%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 141.81 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 28.5 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.61 -.37%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.03% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 84.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $76.56/Metric Tonne +.25%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.50 +2.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 18.70 -.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 19.20 -.9 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 unch.
  • 13.8% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 1 meeting, 44.8% chance at Dec. 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -80 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +16 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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