Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on More Hawkish FOMC Commentary, Apple(AAPL) Worries, Profit-Taking, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.0 -1.77%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.27 -.26%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.73 +.39%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 22.77 -2.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 52.0 -11.9%
  • Total Put/Call .88 +14.3%
  • NYSE Arms .91 -8.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.95 +6.8%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 425.0 +2.87%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.18 +23.3% (new series)
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 4.48 -5.19%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.59 -13.29%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.15 +9.14%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 141.65 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 29.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.53 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 83.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.85/Metric Tonne +1.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -17.40 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.30 +1.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.50 +.1 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 -2.0 basis points
  • 67.1% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 13 meeting, 67.7% chance at Jan. 31 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -5 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +15 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +32 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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