Thursday, October 26, 2017

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Earnings Outlooks, Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Road & Rail/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.24 +.09%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.48 -1.16%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.16 +1.24%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 18.67 -3.62%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 101.0 +46.38%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -26.72%
  • NYSE Arms .99 -.75%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 54.21 +.83%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 391.0 +.36%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 55.67 -3.08%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 4.68 +3.08%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.92 +.44%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 179.50 +1.52%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 144.60 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.25 -.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.75 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -42.0 -2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.50 -.72%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.10% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 84.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.47/Metric Tonne -1.24%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 30.60 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 60.10 +4.2 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 21.30 +4.4 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +2.0 basis points
  • 85.9% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 13 meeting, 86.5% chance at Jan. 31 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +131 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +44 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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