Tuesday, December 05, 2017

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Profit-Taking, Technical Selling, Sector Rotation, Metals & Mining/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.24 -3.77%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.68 -.27%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.97 +1.14%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.21 +3.39%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 127.0 +.79%
  • Total Put/Call .85 +2.41%
  • NYSE Arms 1.32 +82.47%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.54 -.43%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 365.0 +.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 45.99 -.31%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.59 +4.06%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.97 -.07%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 176.09 -1.02%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.69 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.25 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.25 -1.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -52.75 3.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.32 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.30% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 54.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $72.68/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 63.10 -2.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 66.40 -2.9 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.80 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 -2.0 bassis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -42 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -18 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -36 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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