Friday, September 13, 2019

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Diminished Global Growth Fears, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Financial/Transport Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.94 -1.97%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.32 +.11%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.09 -.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 34.84 -.51%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .81 -3.57%
  • NYSE Arms .95 +20.3%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.15 -.11%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 393.0 +.54%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 55.38 +3.16%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 133.0 -20.5 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 55.35 -1.85%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 201.15 +1.45%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 165.36 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread .25 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 17.5 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 +5.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.19 +.14%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.95% unch.
  • Yield Curve .07+2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 96.0 USD/Metric Tonne +4.76%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.40 +10.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -36.50 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.6 +6.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.66 +6.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate cut at Oct. 30th meeting, 100.0% chance of cut at Dec. 11th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -73 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +78 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -6 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/industrial/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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