Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on FOMC Commentary, Earnings Optimism, US Economic Data, Tech/Healthcare Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.3 +.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.58 -.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.19 +.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 32.1 +.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 -5.0
  • Total Put/Call 1.11 +26.1%
  • NYSE Arms .98 +3.16%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 54.71 +1.09%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 488.0 +.25%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.52 +1.61%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 134.5 +.75 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.79 +1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 197.51 +2.29%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.12 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 2.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.75 +3.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.02 -.47%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.60% unch.
  • Yield Curve .19 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 80.39 USD/Metric Tonne -.59%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.8 +6.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -52.20 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.80 -3.8 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.60 -2.0 basis points
  • 37.2% chance of Fed rate cut at Jan. 29th meeting, 45.6% chance of cut at March 18th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +53 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -45 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

No comments: