Monday, October 14, 2019

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:   
  • Asia Stocks Set to Slip Amid Trade Deal Impasse. Asian stocks are set to open lower with little direction from their U.S. peers after China said it wanted more talks before signing a trade deal. Oil retreated. Australia’s shares slipped at the open, while futures were lower in Hong Kong, with modest gains seen in Japan as traders there return from a holiday. S&P 500 Index futures edged higher after the benchmark fluctuated most of Monday after China appeared to pour cold water on a pact touted by President Donald Trump, with people familiar with the situation saying it wanted to iron out details before signing it. Volumes were about 28% below average. A tweet from the Global Times’ editor-in-chief painted a more optimistic outlook, giving equities some support. U.S. bond markets were closed for the Columbus Day holiday. Futures on the Nikkei 225 rose 1.1%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index slid 0.3%. Hang Seng Index futures dropped 0.2%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.1%. The S&P 500 Index fell 0.1%.
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 75.0 -.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 45.0 +.75 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.54 -.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures +.24%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.25%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (BLK)/6.99
  • (SCHW)/.64
  • (C)/1.95
  • (GS)/4.91
  • (JNJ)/2.01
  • (JPM)/2.46
  • (OMC)/1.30
  • (UNH)/3.76
  • (WFC)/1.18
  • (WIT)/3.81
After the Close:
  • (JBHT)/1.45
  • (UAL)/3.95
Economic Releases
  • None of note
Upcoming Splits
  • (ELS) 2-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German ZEW Index, weekly US retail sales reports, Democratic Presidential Debate and the (WDAY) Financial Analyst Day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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