Thursday, September 01, 2022

Friday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 144.0 +1.25 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 74.0 -.75 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 48.5 -.01%.  
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 42.1 +2.0%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.38 +2.0 basis points
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 26.8 +.3%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.87%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.20%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.17%  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Change in Non-Farm Payrolls for Aug. is estimated at 298K versus 528K in July.
  • The Unemployment Rate for Aug. is estimated to rise +3.5% versus a +3.5% gain in July.
  • Average Hourly Earnings MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.5% gain in July.  Average Hourly Earnings YoY for Aug. is estimated to rise +5.3% versus a +5.2% gain in July.
  • Labor Force Participation Rate for Aug. is estimated to rise to 62.2% versus 62.1% in July.
10:00 am EST
  • Factory Orders for July is estimated to rise +.2%versus a +2.0% gain in June.
  • Factory Orders Ex Transports for July is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +1.4% gain in June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Bostic speaking and the Eurozone PPI report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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