Tuesday, September 20, 2022

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -1.0% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 141.75 +3.75 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 85.5 +9.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 48.12 -.06%.  
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 46.4 +.7%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.62 -5.0 basis points
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 27.2 -.5%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.14%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.16%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.20%  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (GIS)/1.00
After the Close:
  • (FUL)/1.04
  • (KBH)/2.67
  • (LEN)/4.87
  • (SCS)/.13
Economic Releases
10:00 am EST
  • Existing Home Sales for Aug. is estimated to fall to 4.69M versus 4.81M in July.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +2,592,800 barrels versus a +2,442,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -846,600 barrels versus a -1,768,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -505,200 barrels versus a +4,219,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.1% versus a +.6% gain prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • The FOMC is expected to raise the benchmark Fed Funds Rate +75.0 basis points to 3.0-3.25%.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The FOMC Press Conference, Canada CPI report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, (TECK) investor day and the (CRM) investor day could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by commodity and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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