Saturday, January 27, 2018

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
  • S&P 500 Surges for a Fourth Week. Waiting for an entry point in the stock market just isn’t working. The latest proof: amid the best start to a year ever measured in global equities, the S&P 500 has now spent longer trading within 5 percent of its all time high than ever before. Add it to the list of superlatives piling up in a market that has now done in a month what Wall Street thought would take a year. Rising 2.2 percent over the last five days, the benchmark sits at 2,872.87 -- higher than the average target of strategists tracked by Bloomberg as recently as December. Twenty-six days in and equities have yet to notch a down week. They’ve risen more than 7 percent and posted more up sessions -- 14 -- than any January since 1989. At these levels, stocks are nearing the most overbought point ever, making it hard for even the most bullish analysts to keep up. For the week, the S&P 500 rose 63 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 545 to 26,616.71. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 2.3 percent to 7,505.77, bringing its year-to-date advance to 8.7 percent. The MSCI All-Country World Index increased 2.1 percent to 550.32, extending its 2018 gain to 7.3 percent to leave it on track for its largest January rally ever.
  • Nafta Said to Gain Steam With Agreement on Anti-Corruption Moves. Talks to update Nafta took a step forward after negotiators in Montreal agreed to measures aimed at preventing corruption, the first official “chapter” completed since October, said five people with knowledge of the process. The efforts to clamp down on graft and bribery had been pushed by Mexico as a new issue for the 24-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement. The measures were agreed to on Friday, according to the people, who asked not to be identified speaking before a public announcement.
  • Bankers, Policy Makers at Davos Revel in ‘Sweet Spot’ Economy. (video) The global elites have rediscovered their animal spirits. As the World Economic Forum drew to a close in the Swiss ski resort, the overarching mood of the executives, policy makers and investors was that their economies are in fine shape and that stock markets have every reason to extend their run. "Let’s celebrate what could go right for the moment because we are in a sweet spot," International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said on the closing panel discussion.
  • Trump Moving On to Infrastructure Push. President Donald Trump plans to use Tuesday’s State of the Union address to build momentum for sweeping legislation on infrastructure and immigration that could buoy the White House and fellow Republicans ahead of crucial midterm elections. Emboldened by a booming economy and victory in his stare-down with Senate Democrats over government funding, Trump will make the case that the Republican tax cuts passed in December and his administration’s efforts to curb regulations are drawing investment to the U.S. and creating jobs, said a White House official who discussed the speech on condition of anonymity.
Wall Street Journal: 
Barron's:
  • Had bullish commentary on (GS), (SNA), (DVN), (LNC), (FDX) and (JPM).
Zero Hedge:

Friday, January 26, 2018

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 Index 2,861.56 +1.82%















 
The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 26,518.30 +1.70%
  • NASDAQ 7,474.71 +1.89%
  • Russell 2000 1,604.08 +.42%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 45.76 +.44%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 150.96 +2.77%
  • Wilshire 5000 29,514.50 +1.41%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,462.31 +1.64%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,289.59 +1.32%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 602.45 +.56%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.5813 -.27%
  • NYSE Technology 1,886.76 +2.72%
  • Transports 11,083.77 -2.49%
  • Utilities 696.61 +1.70%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 106.97 +1.35%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 51.69 +3.14%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,320.49 +1.05%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,013.61 -.36%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 317,163 +.58%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,128 +467
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 35.3 +1.9%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 707,787 +7.6%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,611,581 +2.6%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -8.14%
  • OEX Put/Call .64 -54.87%
  • ISE Sentiment 131.0 +23.3%
  • NYSE Arms .58 -41.44%
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.33 -.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 32.18 -4.88%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.03 +7.0% 
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.21 +3.1%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 20,616.12 +.82%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.824 Trillion +.3%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$2.696 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 45.5 -16.0%
  • AAII % Bears 24.0 +12.3%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 200.69 +2.32%
  • Crude Oil 66.19 +3.95%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 194.31 +2.82%
  • Natural Gas 3.59 +10.72%
  • Heating Oil 213.87 +3.22%
  • Gold 1,351.80 +1.54%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 215.29 +.80%
  • Copper 320.0 +.31%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 321.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.0%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 73.08 USD/Metric Tonne -1.9%
  • Lumber 486.0 +1.65%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,012.20 +1.02%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +3.4% unch.
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 5.8% +130.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .2772 -8.24% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 144.92 +9.4%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 155.23 +1.6%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.50 -24.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 56.40 +1.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .5 -5.5 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 80.0% chance of no change, 20.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 1/31
  • US Dollar Index 88.91 -1.83%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,727.55 +1.29%
  • Bitcoin/USD 11,025.0 -2.15%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.49 -.40%
  • Yield Curve 54.0 -4.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.66% +3.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.400 Trillion +.04%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.27 -18.9%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 251.71 -.03%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 137.75 -1.75 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 10.69 +1.33%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.16 +2.40%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 53.25 +3.95%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.70 +1.29%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 113.0 -.59%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 146.43 -.26%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.09% +3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 35.75 +4.0 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.5 -1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.25 -.75 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 45.63 -3.55%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 295.0 -9.32%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 41.20 -5.11%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 113.60 -.14%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 158.0 -3.0 basis points
  • M1 Money Supply $3.681 Trillion +1.57%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,128.60 +.9%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 240,000 -4,500
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.4% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 4.15% +11.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 424.40 +4.45%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 53.7 -.1 point
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.30% +30.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.57/gallon +.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,217.0 +8.17%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 819.59 +.81%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 20.0 -11.11%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 266,981 -1.33%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +1.6%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value -.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Biotech +5.3%
  • Internet +4.1%
  • Gold & Silver +3.0%
  • Drugs +2.9%
  • Software +2.9%
Lagging Sectors
  • Restaurants -1.3% 
  • Alt Energy -2.2%
  • Road & Rail -2.8%
  • Airlines -4.6%
  • Homebuilders -4.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (31)
  • BIVV, IOVA, MDCO, GWW, RCKT, HZO, CARA, JNCE, RARE, MGNX, COLL, JUNO, WRLD, KURA, STML, ALBO, BG, RMD, LOB, AGIO, NYT, ATKR, TBK, ADMS, WHR, MAT, HNGR, GDENCPK, FE and MSCC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (15)
  • PI, WWD, PETS, MRCY, ALK, IPHI, RES, ATNX, UAL, LITE, RDFN, OLED, NWL, SANM and PBYI
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change