Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Wednesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:

- Bankers Get $4 Trillion Gift From Barney Frank. To close out 2009, I decided to do something I bet no member of Congress has done -- actually read from cover to cover one of the pieces of sweeping legislation bouncing around Capitol Hill. Hunkering down by the fire, I snuggled up with H.R. 4173, the financial-reform legislation passed earlier this month by the House of Representatives. The Senate has yet to pass its own reform plan. The baby of Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, the House bill is meant to address everything from too-big-to-fail banks to asleep-at-the-switch credit-ratings companies to the protection of consumers from greedy lenders. I quickly discovered why members of Congress rarely read legislation like this. At 1,279 pages, the “Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act” is a real slog. And yes, I plowed through all those pages. (Memo to Chairman Frank: “ystem” at line 14, page 258 is missing the first “s”.) The reading was especially painful since this reform sausage is stuffed with more gristle than meat. At least, that is, if you are a taxpayer hoping the bailout train is coming to a halt. If you’re a banker, the bill is tastier. While banks opposed the legislation, they should cheer for its passage by the full Congress in the New Year: There are huge giveaways insuring the government will again rescue banks and Wall Street if the need arises.

- The U.S. Commerce Department said it would impose anti-dumping duties of as much as 145 percent on Chinese steel-grating imports under a preliminary finding that companies sold the product at prices below fair value.

- GMAC Inc., the home and auto lender, is discussing with the Obama administration an additional aid package of about $3 billion to $4 billion, according to a person familiar with the matter. The size of the assistance remains under negotiation, the person said on condition of anonymity because the talks are private. A deal may be reached within days as Detroit-based GMAC incorporates losses from its home-loan businesses, the person said. GMAC has already received two rounds of government aid totaling $13.5 billion as it struggled with losses at its home mortgage operations, which include Residential Capital LLC, known as ResCap. The Obama administration regards the lender as crucial to the survival of the U.S. auto industry. General Motors Co., its former parent, and Chrysler Group LLC rely on the firm to finance their vehicle buyers.

- U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s government escalated a diplomatic dispute with China after the execution yesterday of a British national caught smuggling heroin, the third rift between the two nations this year. Foreign Minister Ivan Lewis said yesterday he was “sick to his stomach” at China’s decision to put Akmal Shaikh to death without considering evidence he suffered from mental illness. Brown said he condemned the execution “in the strongest terms.”

- Japan Airlines Corp. plunged to a record in Tokyo trading on speculation the company may seek bankruptcy, even as the nation’s transport minister said other options remain for the unprofitable carrier. The airline, Asia’s biggest by sales, dropped as much as 32 percent to 60 yen and traded at 67 yen as of 1:24 p.m. local time. The volume of shares sold was seven times the daily average for the past three months.


Wall Street Journal:

- The U.S. had multiple pieces of information about alleged bomber Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, according to senior U.S. officials, including intelligence reports and communications intercepts suggesting a Nigerian was being prepped for a terror strike by al Qaeda operatives in Yemen.

- The Price for Fannie and Freddie Keeps Going Up. Barney Frank's decision to 'roll the dice' on subsidized housing is becoming an epic disaster for taxpayers. On Christmas Eve, when most Americans' minds were on other things, the Treasury Department announced that it was removing the $400 billion cap from what the administration believes will be necessary to keep Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac solvent. This action confirms that the decade-long congressional failure to more closely regulate these two government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) will rank for U.S. taxpayers as one of the worst policy disasters in our history.

- Auditors discovered that 234.7 billion yuan ($34.3 billion) disappeared from public funds in the first 11 months of this year, state media said Tuesday, in a report that underscores the depth of official corruption in China. Cases involving 67 senior officials and 164 others were handed over to judicial authorities. Premier Wen Jiabao has called on state auditors to review public-investment projects to help avoid embezzlement and waste, Xinhua news agency reported. Official corruption is one of the main causes of social unrest in China, and the country's leaders have publicly warned that it has become so widespread that it now threatens Communist Party rule.

- Freddie Mac's Christmas Eve securities filing on executive compensation showed that the company's human-resources chief, Paul George, is among the mortgage company's five highest-paid officers, with annual pay of up to $2.7 million, depending on incentive payments. That makes Mr. George a rarity. Corporate Library says HR executives are among the five best compensated at just 186, or 6%, of the 3,200 corporations in the research firm's North American database. And among those happy 186 HR honchos, Mr. George ranks in the top 15 in terms of pay. Before the government took over the reins in 2008 amid soaring losses, Freddie was slow to find successors for its chief executive and chief operating officer, despite prodding from regulators. Mr. George, who worked at Wachovia Corp. before joining Freddie Mac in 2005, didn't respond to requests for comment.

- Companies gambling that they can shake up the portable-computer market plan to lay some cards on the table in Las Vegas next week. The 2010 Consumer Electronics Show will be a coming-out party for a new breed of ultra-small laptops that act more like smart phones—designed to be always on and connected to the Internet via 3G cellular networks, ready to call up a Web page or post an update on Twitter. Promoters of the new devices have been pushing the term "smartbooks," partly to distinguish them from the low-end portables called netbooks that have been the hottest thing in the PC industry over the past two years. But there are unanswered questions about features and pricing for the new hardware, leaving the possibility that consumers could get confused with existing netbooks.

- After nearly two decades fighting gangs, Los Angeles County Sheriff's Detective Robert Lyons thought he had seen it all. Until he saw members of the Bloods and the Crips -- rival gangs that spent years in brutal conflict -- meeting amiably in a restaurant. "They were talking. There was hugging and high-fiving. It was unbelievable," Mr. Lyons said. He has heard a refrain from gang members: Red (the Bloods) and blue (the Crips) make green (money). Gangs that were once bloody rivals now are cooperating to wring profits from the sale of illegal drugs and weapons, law-enforcement officials and gang experts say. In some cases, gangs that investigators believed to be sworn enemies share neighborhoods and strike business deals. The collaboration even crosses racial lines, remarkable in a gang world where racial divisions are sharp and clashes are often racially motivated.

- The notion that unionized airport baggage screeners in Detroit could have prevented Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab from boarding a plane in Amsterdam or Lagos doesn't make much sense. But sure enough, some in Congress are using the thwarted Christmas Day terrorist attack to argue that a new leader for the Transportation Security Administration could have saved the day. Rahm Emanuel's famous declaration that a crisis is a terrible thing to waste seems to have become a way of Washington life.

CNBC.com:
- There’s nothing like travel to chase away the winter blues. And those who book over the next few weeks stand to benefit from some of the deepest discounts in years on hotels, cruises and airfare—compliments of the troubled economy. January through March, the off-season in many locations, is “always the best time to get the best deals,” says Pauline Frommer, a travel expert and editor of the Pauline Frommer Guide books, who notes that package deals over the last few years have hit rock bottom.

IBD:
- Heading out into the real world, college graduates are often told, "It's not what you know, it's who you know." Networking is a vital function of the business world, and nobody understands that better than advertising's middleman, DG FastChannel (DGIT).

DailyFinance:

- Wireless Watch: Expect a Rebound in 2010.


Business Insider:

- Leaked Nexus One Documents: $530 Unlocked, $180 With T-Mobile. A tipster just sent in these Nexus One screenshots that supposedly confirms two things: that Google will sell it unlocked and unsubsidized for $530, and that Google will sell it by themselves. Plus, some other very interesting details.

- Goldman(GS) is in a pay scuffle with a Chinese power company. According to Reuters, a Goldman subsidiary, J. Aron and Company, says that Shenzhen Nanshan Power owes them $80 million. But Shenzhen Power is refusing to pay

- The International Monetary Fund released a report today called "A Fistful of Dollars." In the report, the IMF discusses how the riskiest mortgage lenders were the most active lobbyists in Washington. These lenders pushed for more lax laws regarding mortgage securitization, ultimately contributing to the housing meltdown of the past year and a half. In fact, lobbying can attributed to a lot of the blame associated with the crisis.

- For those interested in natural gas, CNBC held a good, brief debate on it between bull Arthur Gelberg, and Jim Osten of Camrbridge Energy Research Associates (CERA), who argues that we're basically looking at a permanent sate of oversupply.


Politico:

- The governors of the nation’s two largest Democratic states are leveling sharp criticism at the Senate health care bill, claiming that it would leave their already financially strapped states even deeper in the hole. New York Democratic Gov. David Paterson and California GOP Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger are urging congressional leaders to rework the Medicaid financing in the Senate-passed bill, warning that under that version their states will be crushed by billions in new costs. After the Senate passed the bill in a Christmas Eve vote, Paterson said the expansion would leave New York $1 billion in the lurch. The state faces a $6.8 billion budget shortfall heading into the 2010 fiscal year. “[I] am deeply troubled that the Senate version of the bill worsens what was already an inequitable situation for New York and I will continue to be an advocate on behalf of New Yorkers to ensure we are treated fairly by this critical federal legislation,” Paterson said in a statement. In a letter to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Schwarzenegger wrote that the legislation would create a “crushing new burden” for a state with a whopping $20.7 billion budget deficit. “When asked for my support, I was assured that federal legislation would not increase costs to California or include new unfunded mandates,” Schwarzenegger wrote. “Unfortunately, under nearly every scenario we can predict, the federal health care reform legislation being debated would cost California’s General Fund an additional $3 billion to $4 billion annually.”


Rasmussen Reports:

- The economy barely beats out government ethics and corruption as the issue of number one importance to most voters this month. Health care and taxes are a little more on voters’ minds, too. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 81% of voters consider the issue of the economy as very important, topping a list of 10 key electoral issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. But 79% say the same of government ethics and corruption. In third place this month is health care, rated very important by 75% of voters, up from 66% in November. It’s interesting to note, however, that just 40% of voters nationwide now favor the health care plan working its way through Congress, while 55% oppose it.


AgricultureOnline:

- The ethanol trade groups, Growth Energy and the Renewable Fuels Association, along with state and local farm groups, have filed a federal lawsuit challenging Calfornia's low carbon fuel standard. The groups' lawsuit alleges that the new rule, which will be phased in starting in 2011, unfairly discriminates against corn-based ethanol made primarily in the Midwest, in violation of the Commerce and Supremacy clauses of the U.S. Constitution.


FINalternatives:

- Investors yanked billions from Millennium Management after the hedge fund made it easier to redeem their investments. All told, the New York-based hedge fund returned about $3 billion in October, roughly 27% of its assets under management. The firm now runs about $8 billion, Reuters reports. After the third quarter, Millennium changed its liquidity terms, giving investors the option of withdrawing a quarter of their assets every quarter, or all of it annually. The firm imposed no gate or other withdrawal restrictions during the financial crisis.


Chicago Tribune:

- O'Hare International Airport will get full passenger body-scanning equipment next year, perhaps as early as the first quarter, Chicago's aviation commissioner said today.


USAToday:

- Benjamin Franklin's maxim that "nothing is certain but death and taxes" remains true. But a congressional stalemate has left the federal estate tax, the levy on assets left to heirs, in doubt for at least part of 2010. The tax is poised to expire Thursday, though the House and Senate are expected to pass a reauthorization, possibly retroactive to Jan. 1, next year. In the meantime, what might seem like a potential tax savings has become a guessing game for taxpayers, accountants, estate planners and tax lawyers. The impasse also could mean capital gains taxes on more inheritances.


Reuters:

- Oshkosh Corp (OSK) has been awarded a $258.4 million U.S. Army contract for 728 new M1075 "palletized load system" trucks as an add-on to an existing contract, the Defense Department said on Tuesday.


Financial Times:

- The Iranian regime has rounded up hundreds of opposition supporters, including prominent politicians and journalists, in a fresh effort to put down persistent anti-government protests in cities across the country. Iranian authorities also renewed their attack on the west, blaming the unrest squarely on the US and Britain. President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad said the demonstrations had been a “Zionist and American-ordered show”. “Britain will receive a punch on the mouth if it does not stop its nonsense,” said Manouchehr Mottaki, the foreign minister. Among those who have been detained since the weekend are Alireza Beheshti, the senior adviser to the opposition leader Mir-Hossein Moussavi, and Nooshin Ebadi, the sister of Shirin Ebadi, the Nobel Laureate. Karim Sadjadpour, at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, said: “A regime that feels confident about themselves does not resort to imprisoning and assassinating relatives of their political opponents. “The Islamic Republic’s future looks bleak, but they have plenty of brutality left in them and they are capable of doing even more horrendous things in the coming months.” The opposition Green Movement, formed out of support for Mr Moussavi, has managed to sustain its protests since the disputed June presidential election by hijacking national days once set aside for commemorating religious and political events. Meanwhile, the regime signalled that it was considering the arrest of Mr Moussavi himself. Four of the opposition leader’s aides have now been detained since the protests on Sunday when his nephew, Ali Habibi, was shot dead. The Javan newspaper, affiliated to the elite Revolutionary Guards, urged government supporters due to stage a rally in Tehran today to march on Mr Moussavi’s office.

TimesOnline:
- Regulators in the United States are investigating arcane financial instruments sold by Wall Street during the economic crisis amid accusations that banks duped investors into betting on toxic mortgage assets. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (Finra) has started an investigation into synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), according to people with knowledge of the inquiry. Finra, which monitors broker dealers, already has several investigations open into so-called authentic CDOs. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), whose authority stretches from banks to investment advisers, is also thought to be looking into the complex instruments created by the banks and sold to investors, such as pension funds. Synthetic CDOs have been blamed for multiplying the pain of the sub-prime mortgage meltdown by providing investors with an additional way to bet on the property market.

Daily Express:

- The Tiger Woods scandal is set to be turned into a TV movie with Oscar-winning actor Cuba Gooding Jr lined up to play the bed-hopping golfer. The Jerry Maguire star, 41, is reportedly being eyed for the high-profile role by several Hollywood producers, who are vying to be the first to get a film about the sensational revelations into production in the new year.


Evening Recommendations

- None of note.

Night Trading
Asian indices are -.25% to +.50% on avg.

Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 94.50 +1.50 basis points.
S&P 500 futures -.20%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.19%.


Morning Preview
BNO Breaking Global News of Note

Google Top Stories

Bloomberg Breaking News

Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories

MarketWatch News Viewer

Asian Financial News

European Financial News

Latin American Financial News

MarketWatch Pre-market Commentary

U.S. Equity Preview

TradeTheNews Morning Report

Briefing.com In Play

SeekingAlpha Market Currents

Briefing.com Bond Ticker

US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
IBD New America
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar

Conference Calendar

Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades

Politico Headlines
Rasmussen Reports Polling


Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
- None of note


Economic Releases

9:45 am EST

- The Chicago Purchasing Manager report for December is estimated to fall to 55.1 versus a reading of 56.1 in November.


10:30 am EST

- Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -1,850,000 barrels versus a -4,841,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are expected to rise by +1,000,000 barrels versus a -883,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -2,225,000 barrels versus a -3,027,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is expected to rise by +.28% versus a +.09% gain the prior week.


Upcoming Splits

- None of note


Other Potential Market Movers
- The weekly MBA mortgage applications report and the Treasury's 7-Year note auction
could also impact trading today.


BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly higher, boosted by technology and financial stocks in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Stocks Finish Slightly Lower, Weighed Down by REIT and Commodity Shares

Evening Review
BNO Breaking Global News of Note

Google Top Stories

Bloomberg Breaking News

Yahoo Most Popular Biz Stories

MarketWatch News Viewer

Briefing.com In Play

SeekingAlpha Market Currents

WSJ Today’s Markets
Today’s Movers
StockCharts Market Performance Summary

WSJ Data Center

Sector Performance

ETF Performance

Morningstar Style Performance
Commodity Futures
S&P 500 Gallery View

Timely Economic Charts

Most Recent Guru Stock Picks
CNN PM Market Call

After-hours Stock Commentary

After-hours Movers

After-hours Stock Quote
After-hours Stock Chart

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Technical Buying, Lower Long-Term Rates, Short-Covering, Seasonal Strength

BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is slightly higher into the final hour on gains in my Medical longs, Defense longs and Retail longs. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is mildly negative as the advance/decline line is about even, sector performance is mostly negative and volume is very light. Investor anxiety is very high. Today’s overall market action is neutral. The VIX is falling -.25% and is above average at 19.88. The ISE Sentiment Index is very low at 66.0 and the total put/call is above average at .91. Finally, the NYSE Arms has been running very high most of the day, hitting 1.64 at its intraday peak, and is currently 1.49. The Euro Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index is falling -1.36% to 65.13 basis points. This index is down from its record March 10th high of 208.75. The North American Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index is rising +.40% to 82.48 basis points. This index is also well below its Dec. 5th record high of 285.99. The TED spread is falling -4 basis points to 16 basis points. The TED spread is now down 449 basis points since its all-time high of 463 basis points on October 10th. The 2-year swap spread is falling -15.7% to 29.31 basis points. The Libor-OIS spread is unch. at 8 basis points. The 10-year TIPS spread, a good gauge of inflation expectations, is up +1 basis point to 2.40%, which is down -25 basis points since July 7th. The 3-month T-Bill is yielding .09%, which is up +4 basis points today. Software, Medical Equipment and Defense stocks are outperforming today. Gauges of investor angst are very high today given a flat market, which is a positive. The ISE Sentiment Index is showing a spike in retail option trader bearishness. The 2-Yr swap spread has moved back down to the lower end of its 8-month trading range, which is also a positive. The number of coal vessels waiting to load at Australia's Newcastle port has reached a two-year high of 60, amid growing winter demand from northeast Asia and falling stocks. It is also a big positive to see long-term rates falling despite additional supply. Despite Iran worries and a better consumer confidence reading, oil is flat on the day. Gold continues to trade poorly. On the negative side, cyclicals are seeing some profit-taking again today and (IYR) is a bit heavy. Nikkei futures indicate an +100 open in Japan and DAX futures indicate an +14 open in Germany tomorrow. I expect US stocks to trade modestly higher into the close from current levels on short-covering, less economic fear, technical buying, lower long-term rates and seasonal strength.

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:

- Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in October for a fifth consecutive month, putting the housing market and economy farther along the path to recovery. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index increased 0.4 percent from the prior month on a seasonally adjusted basis, after a 0.2 percent rise in September, the group said today in New York. The gauge was down 7.3 percent from October 2008, the smallest year- over-year decline since October 2007. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News anticipated a 7.2 percent drop.

- Confidence among U.S. consumers rose in December for a second month as pessimism over the outlook for jobs diminished. The Conference Board’s confidence index increased to 52.9, in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, from 50.6 in November, the New York-based research group said today. The gauge of expectations for the next six months climbed to 75.6, the highest since the recession began two years ago, from 70.3 the prior month. The share expecting more jobs improved to 16.2 percent from 15.8 percent.

- The cost to protect US corporate bonds from default declined to the lowest in almost two years, trading in a benchmark credit derivatives index shows. Credit-default swaps on the Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index fell .5 basis point to 81.5 basis points, according to broker Phoenix Partners Group. The index reached its lowest since Jan. 2, 2008, when it ended at 81.04 basis points, according to CMA DataVision.

- A suspected terrorist’s attempt to blow up a U.S. airliner may override privacy concerns and intensify a push for full-body scanning equipment at airports as the U.S. plans to buy more of the machines. Companies such as OSI(OSIS), Smiths Group Plc, Safran SA and L-3 Communications Holdings Inc.(LLL) may benefit from any requirement that airports get more security equipment. London-based Smiths is the world’s biggest maker of airport scanners. Safran, based in Paris, is the world leader in biometric technologies, such as fingerprint scanners. New York-based L-3 also makes scanners for airport use. L-3 has “developed a more sophisticated system that could prevent smuggling of almost anything on the body,” said Howard Rubel, an analyst at Jefferies & Co., who has a “hold” rating on the stock. “Speed and privacy issues have slowed its introduction.”

- Stores, factories and public transportation in Pakistan’s biggest city of Karachi remained closed today after the deadliest bombing in more than two years triggered riots by protesters. Bus operators kept their vehicles off the roads, while traders kept their shop shutters down to protest against the violence that gutted about 3,000 shops in the nation’s commercial capital after the bombing. Smoke still billowed from the city’s biggest wholesale market where protesters set fire to stores and vehicles. “In addition to the 43 dead, five unidentified bodies were also found,” Sagheer Ahmed, provincial health minister said in a telephone interview from Karachi. “Around fifty to sixty injured are undergoing treatment.”

- Apple(AAPL) May Gain on New Products After Reaching Record.

- Netflix Inc.(NFLX) Chief Content Officer Ted Sarandos bypassed Hollywood to jumpstart the company’s online film-rental business last year. Now he has to convince the studios the company is a friend and not a foe.

- Morgan Stanley(MS) was accused in a lawsuit of defrauding investors in a collateralized-debt obligation, called the Libertas CDO, by collaborating with ratings companies to place triple-A ratings on the notes. Morgan Stanley, the sixth-biggest U.S. lender by assets, arranged the offering as it was short-selling almost the entire $1.2 billion worth of assets in the CDO, according to a complaint filed today in federal court in New York. “Morgan Stanley was betting the entire investment it was promoting would fail,” the public employees’ retirement system of the Virgin Islands said in the complaint. “The firm achieved its objective.”


Wall Street Journal:

- Alexis de Tocqueville never met Harry Reid. Had he encountered the Senate Democratic leader—or President Barack Obama or House Speaker Nancy Pelosi—de Tocqueville might have learned about a new twist on his concept of the "tyranny of the majority." The Frenchman toured America in the 1830s and published his conclusions in the classic "Democracy in America." He noted the powerful impact of public opinion. "That is what forms the majority," he wrote. Congress merely "represents the majority and obeys it blindly" and so does the president. They are free to brush aside minority opinion, creating a threat de Tocqueville described as the "tyranny of the majority." Democrats in Washington do have large majorities in Congress. But instead of reflecting popular opinion, they are pursuing wide-ranging initiatives in defiance of the views of the majority of Americans. This stands de Tocqueville's concept on its head. The most striking example is health-care reform. It is intensely unpopular but was approved by the House in November and the Senate on Christmas Eve. Asked in a Rasmussen poll in mid-December if they'd prefer no bill to ObamaCare, 57% said they would. Only 34% said they'd rather ObamaCare be enacted.

- U.S. investigators are pursuing possible links between the Christmas Day airline bomb plot and former Guantanamo Bay prisoners now thought to be leaders of an al Qaeda affiliate in Yemen.

- Iran lashed back at the U.S. and Britain Tuesday, accusing the two governments of interfering in its affairs, in the wake of rebukes issued earlier in the week from Washington and London over Tehran's crackdown on protesters. Iranian foreign-ministry spokesman Ramin Mehman-Parast also signaled a hardening of resolve in Tehran's response to protesters, who have dogged the regime since June, when large-scale demonstrations erupted amid accusations of vote rigging in presidential elections.

- The U.S. International Trade Commission will rule Wednesday on U.S. steelmakers' claims that they have been severely injured as a result of $2.8 billion of subsidized Chinese steel being dumped into the U.S. The findings, which involve Chinese-made steel pipes and tubes used by energy and exploration companies, could lead to stiff fines, an import quota or both.


CNBC:

- The latest effort by the government to auction off debt received decent enthusiasm for investors, a day after a disappointing auction for shorter-term notes.

- Online retailer eBay(EBAY) saw purchases made from mobile apps soar this holiday season, with three-times as many items purchased via mobile device than a year ago.

- Investors poured $11.1 billion to U.S. equity funds in the week ending Dec. 23, the highest amount in 79 weeks and slightly offsetting the record outflows from such funds this year, fund tracker EPFR Global said on Tuesday. The outflow from money market funds slowed in the penultimate week of 2009 while emerging market funds remained on track to post a record annual inflow.

- US gross domestic product could grow at an annual rate of as much as 3 percent next year as consumers and businesses start to regain confidence, Peter Cardillo, chief market economist from Avalon Partners, told CNBC Tuesday. “It's all a question of confidence and that confidence is coming back. It's not only coming back among the consumers, but it's also coming back among the businesses," Cardillo said.


Barron’s:

- Thomas Weisel Partners analyst Tim Klasell this morning repeated his Overweight rating on Microsoft (MSFT), while lifting his target on the stock to $35, from $31. At the same time, Klasell upped his EPS forecast for the June 2010 fiscal year to $1.86, from $1.73; for FY 2011 he goes to $2.11, from $1.96. “The outlook for hardware shipments and the overall IT spending environment in 2010 has improved and the company has reduced its cost structure,” he writes.


NY Times:

- There is a middle-class tax time bomb ticking in the Senate’s version of President Obama’s effort to reform health care. The bill that passed the Senate with such fanfare on Christmas Eve would impose a confiscatory 40 percent excise tax on so-called Cadillac health plans, which are popularly viewed as over-the-top plans held only by the very wealthy. In fact, it’s a tax that in a few years will hammer millions of middle-class policyholders, forcing them to scale back their access to medical care. Which is exactly what the tax is designed to do. The tax would kick in on plans exceeding $23,000 annually for family coverage and $8,500 for individuals, starting in 2013. In the first year it would affect relatively few people in the middle class. But because of the steadily rising costs of health care in the U.S., more and more plans would reach the taxation threshold each year. Within three years of its implementation, according to the Congressional Budget Office, the tax would apply to nearly 20 percent of all workers with employer-provided health coverage in the country, affecting some 31 million people. Within six years, according to Congress’s Joint Committee on Taxation, the tax would reach a fifth of all households earning between $50,000 and $75,000 annually. Those families can hardly be considered very wealthy.


NYPost:
- Greed may be out of style, but risk is still good. That seems to be the lesson big banks like Goldman Sachs(GS) and JPMorgan Chase(JPM) have learned from the credit crisis. The amount of risk they're taking, as measured by their exposure to losses from brokering derivatives, is still significant -- and in some cases has actually risen since the height of the crisis. Goldman Sachs Bank is the biggest risk taker, with almost three times as much credit exposure as the next biggest gambler, JPMorgan, according to a third-quarter report recently released by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The amounts are so large that if the swaps and other derivative contracts the banks broker go bad because the parties on either side of the deal collapse, the banks could be in trouble. Indeed, in 2008 Goldman received billions in rescue dollars that had been loaned to insurer American International Group, because of its huge role in AIG's derivatives program. As of Sept. 30, Goldman posted $42 billion in derivatives and had $115 million in assets. JPMorgan brokered $79 billion in derivatives against $1.7 billion in assets as of Sept. 30. Since the last quarter of 2006, near the peak of the credit boom, JPMorgan has reduced its total credit exposure to risk-based capital by 16 percent. Citibank in the same time period has cut its exposure by 24 percent. Meanwhile, Bank of America has increased its exposure by almost 50 percent, though it is still well below the levels of the other three. Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker earlier this month said credit default swaps had taken the economy to the "brink of disaster" and "proprietary trading should be pushed out of investment banks and to hedge funds where they belong."

- On Christmas Day, an Islamist fanatic tried to blow up an airplane whose passengers were mostly Christians. And we helped. Our government gets no thanks for preventing a tragedy. Only the bomber's ineptitude preserved the lives of nearly 300 innocents. How did we help Umar Abdulmutallab, a wealthy Muslim university graduate who decided that Allah wanted him to slaughter Christians on their most joyous holiday? By continuing to lie to ourselves. Although willing -- at last -- to briefly use the word "terror," yesterday President Obama still refused to make a connection between the action, the date and Islam.


The Business Insider:

- Russia's Lukoil has won the rights to develop one of Iraq's largest oilfields -- the 12.9 billion barrel West Qurna Phase 2 field. This upcoming mega-field is seen as the 'crown jewel' of 15 fields offered during the second post-war licensing round. It's just the beginning of what will likely be Iraq's oil renaissance.


Detroit Free Press:

- Leaders in metro Detroit's Muslim community are gathering today in Southfield to condemn Al Qaeda's claims of involvement in the foiled Christmas Day airline attack. "No faith or legitimate political ideology could ever justify the injuring or murdering of innocent civilians," Dawud Walid, director of the Michigan chapter of the Council on American-Islamic Relations said at a news conference at the center's Southfield offices today. "No cause or grievances can ever justify such wanton violence. "These people are outside the true religion and the true fold of Islam," he said, also condemning racial or ethnic profiling as a reaction to the Christmas Day attack. "They are enemies of peace-loving Muslims throughout the world." Abdulmutallab's failed attempt to blow up Flight 253 from Amsterdam as it landed in Detroit is not "jihad," or "striving in the cause of God," Walid pointed out. Instead, attacks are "irhab," or "terrorism," and "hirabah," or "unlawful warfare," according to Islam's holy book, the Koran, he said. Walid's group is launching its own jihad, an online endeavor to provide legitimate information to young, uneducated Muslims who might fall prey to Internet rhetoric from religious extremists. He expects the online presence to launch by spring.


LoopRumors:

- China Unicom has reportedly sold over 300,000 iPhones in the country according to iPhonAsia. The mobile operator had reported sales of just 5,000 units during the first weekend of sales at the end of October and reached 100,000 phones sold in early December. This means it took the company 40 days to reach the 100,000 mark and less than 20 days to sell an additional 200,000. This represents an impressive acceleration in sales for the initially struggling Chinese market. The report comes from TechQQ who gathered the information from a China Unicom executive who spoke to the press on December 27. China Unicom is the only iPhone carrier in China at the moment, although China Mobile, who boasts the most subscribers in the world, is said to be still in talks with Apple to start selling the device.


USA Today:

- Diplomats are concerned about an intelligence report that says Iran is trying to import 1,350 tons of purified uranium ore from Kazakhstan in violation of U.N. Security Council sanctions. Such a deal would be significant because Tehran appears to be running out of that material, which it needs to feed its uranium enrichment program. A summary of the report obtained by The Associated Press on Tuesday said the deal could be completed within weeks. It said Tehran was willing to pay $450 million, or close to 315 million euros, for the shipment.


Politico:

- Closing the Guantanamo Bay detention facility remains “a national security imperative” despite a news report that two of the planners behind the attempted airborne bombing on Christmas Day had been released from Gitmo in 2007, a senior administration official said. ABC News’ Brian Ross reported: “Two of the four leaders allegedly behind the Al Qaeda plot to blow up a Northwest Airlines passenger jet over Detroit were released by the U.S. from the Guantanamo prison in November 2007, according to American officials and Department of Defense documents.”

- A new poll suggests that Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.) seriously endangered his political prospects by becoming the decisive 60th vote allowing health care legislation to pass through the Senate. The Rasmussen survey shows Nelson, who isn’t up for re-election until 2012, badly trailing Gov. Dave Heineman by 31 points in a hypothetical matchup, 61 to 30 percent. A 55 percent majority of Nebraska voters now hold an unfavorable view of the two-term senator, with 40 percent viewing him favorably. The health care bill is currently very unpopular in Nebraska, according to the Rasmussen poll. Nearly two-thirds of voters (64 percent) oppose the legislation while just 17 percent approve.

- There is a sense of déjà vu in the Obama administration’s response to the attempted terrorist attack on Christmas Day. A by-now familiar pattern has been established for dealing with unexpected problems. First, White House aides downplay the notion that something may have gone wrong on their part. While staying out of the spotlight, the president conveys his efforts to address the situation and his feelings about it through administration officials. After a few days, the White House concedes on the issue, and perhaps Barack Obama even steps out to address it. That same scenario unfolded over the summer, when Obama said Sgt. James Crowley, a white Cambridge, Mass., police officer, “acted stupidly” when he arrested Henry Louis Gates Jr., a black Harvard professor, in his own home. It happened in March when the public was outraged over AIG dishing out hefty bonuses. More recently the public witnessed the dynamic after a security breach at President Barack Obama’s first state dinner. But the fact that the issue now is a terrorist incident — albeit an unsuccessful one — makes the stakes much higher, and the White House’s usual approach more questionable. That this test of his leadership comes while he’s on vacation in tropical Hawaii further complicates things.


BGR:

- You know what was so 2009? Television in HD. You know what is so 2010? Television in HD and 3D. HD Guru is reporting that DirecTV is planning to launch an all HD and 3D channel in 2010; with an announcement forthcoming at this years CES show in Las Vegas. The new service will be made possible by a new DirecTV satellite being shot into orbit sometime in the very near future, a satellite slated to be fully operational by March of 2010. The channel will play a variety of movies and sports all conforming to the latest 3D standard. Now before we all get too excited, the new service will work with your current DirecTV HD box, thanks to a firmware update, but you will have to purchase yourself a new 3D compatible HD TV — many of which are to be announced at CES this year. Will 3D be the new buzz word of the 2010 television market? We will see.

- Google(GOOG) Nexus One sold directly and only by Google, officially supported by T-Mobile.


bnet:

- Google(GOOG) Might Get Into Hosted Gaming Via YouTube.


Reuters:

- The Internet made shopping without checkout lines a no-brainer. Now, some Web companies are betting that people are ready to forsake another shopping tradition: tangible products. Virtual goods, which exist as digital bits on computers and cellphones, have grown more popular in the past year as important accoutrements for increasingly Web-oriented lives. Often available for a $1 or less, virtual goods range from video game accessories like extra weapons for shooting games, to electronic birthday cards and flowers for friends on Facebook or dating sites like Zoosk and flirtomatic.com.

- Redbook Research on Tuesday released the following seasonally adjusted weekly data on U.S. chain store sales: Year-over-year: Week (w/e 12/26/09 vs year ago) +3.0 pct Year-over-year: Month (December 2009 vs December 2008) +1.9 pct Month-over-month: (December 2009 vs November 2009) -4.5 pct.


De Telegreaaf:

- Al-Qaeda uses its own scanning and x-ray machines to test the concealment of bombs, citing a former Dutch military intelligence official. Al-Qaeda has performed test-runs to mislead scanning machines in European airports, the official said.


Le Figaro:

- Apple Inc.’s(AAPL) 2009 French sales of iPhones will total between 1.8 million and 2 million units. That’s enough to give Apple an 8.5% share of the French mobile-phone market.


Digitimes:

- LG Display (LGD) expects its share of the global e-paper display (EPD) market to reach 20% in 2010, up from 15% in 2009, according to company CEO Kwon Young Soo at the signing of a strategic alliance with Taiwan-based EPD maker Prime View International (PVI) on December 28. Kwon noted that the collaboration with PVI will help LGD secure EPD material supply from E-Ink in the future. PVI has acquired E-Ink. The global e-book reader market is expected to reach 9.3 million units in 2010, up from 3.82 million in 2009, and E-Ink will account for over 90% of the market, according to Digitimes Research.

The Korea Times:
- KT is obviously enjoying being the country's exclusive carrier for Apple's(AAPL) iPhone, which has been flying off shelves since its domestic release on Nov. 30. Now bitter industry rival SK Telecom is looking to generate just as much buzz by getting out of the gate early on premium phones powered by the Google(GOOG)-backed Android operating system. SK Telecom, the country's biggest mobile telephony operator, currently plans to release its first Android phone, produced by Motorola(MOT), sometime around mid-January, industry sources said.