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| S&P 500 6,471.4 -.6% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 45,396.0 -.7%
- NASDAQ 21,656.5 -.3%
- Russell 2000 2,382.5 +.1%
- NYSE FANG+ 15,675.3 +.8%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 220.0 -1.7%
- Wilshire 5000 64,154.3 -.6%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,509.2 -.7%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,974.9 -.5%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 888.95 +.7%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 255.6 +.06%
- NYSE Technology 6,438.9 -.54%
- Transports 15,693.4 -1.5%
- Utilities 1,076.3 -1.7%
- MSCI Europe Banks 95.94 -1.8%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 50.36 +.63%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 237.6 -.05%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 126.2 -.06%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 574,661 +.09%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 12.5 +90.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 560 -577
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -14.4 +4.0%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 109,472 -8.9%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,912,554 -.5%
- Total Put/Call .71 -9.2%
- OEX Put/Call 1.4 -1.8%
- ISE Sentiment 145.0 -21.0
- NYSE Arms 1.27 -10.7%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 81.1 +1.6%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .61 -5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.43 -10.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 15.6 +12.0%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.38 +87.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 16.1 +15.4%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.0 +.6%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.1 -.03%
- Smart Money Flow Index 23,545.2 +2.2%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 81.6 -11.3
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.259 Trillion +.7%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$.133 Million
- AAII % Bulls 32.7 -5.5%
- AAII % Bears 43.4 +10.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 52.0 (GREED) -12.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 300.35 -.1%
- Crude Oil 61.89/bbl. -4.1%
- Reformulated Gasoline 196.54 -1.3%
- Natural Gas 3.05 +1.7%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.0 euros/megawatt-hour +.7%
- Heating Oil 228.9 -1.8%
- Newcastle Coal 108.3 (1,000/metric ton) -1.4%
- Gold 3,593.9 +4.3%
- Silver 41.0 +3.3%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 464.4 +.3%
- Copper 454.0 +1.7%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 344.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.9%
- China Iron Ore Spot 104.1 USD/Metric Tonne +2.5
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 10,900.0 USD/metric tonne -5.4%
- CME Lumber 583.0 +4.5%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,371.0 -1.9%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 337.5 USD/Short Ton +.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.0% -.5 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 43.0 -1.4 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.52 -3.5%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 383.3 -15.8%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 3.5 -20.5%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $205.0 Billion($1,273.29 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(496 of 500 reporting) +12.6% +.2 percentage point
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 290.25 +.70: Growth Rate +10.8% +.2 percentage point, P/E 22.4 -.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.49% -3.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(9 of 10 reporting) +27.9% +n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 476.87 +1.52: Growth Rate +16.6% +.3 percentage point, P/E 32.7 unch.
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 20.1 -5.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 20.1 -2.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.9 +4.7 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 88.2%(+1.3 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 4.0-4.25%, 0.0%(-13.1 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.5-4.75% on 9/17
- US Dollar Index 97.71 -.2%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,832.5 -.1%
- Bitcoin/USD 110,925.0 +1.3%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 195.0 +.5%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.93 -.4%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 57.75 -2.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.08% -14.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.554 Trillion -.02%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $4.690 Billion +.15%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.0 -.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 197.2 -1.3%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 84.0 -2.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.0 +3.8%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.1 -6.3%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 136.9 -.1%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 73.0 -2.2%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.0 -3.5%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.40 +.5%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 125.0 +.5%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.8% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.6% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.95% unch.: CPI YoY +2.84% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.63 -15.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.37 -5.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread -37.5 basis points -19.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -23.25 -.5 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .75 -.75 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.3 -1.3%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 204.0 +.2%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 199.0 -7.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 57.79 -2.5%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 126.4 -1.5%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 143.9 -.6%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 130.0 -6.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 582.0 +1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .49 -1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.8% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,403.1B -.1%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 231,000 +1.1%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 52.4 +.2%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.59% -4.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 272,500 -1.2%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.1% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +8.0% -2.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $197.5M unch.
- Nationwide Gas $3.20/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,963.0 -3.1%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,103.8/40 ft Box -.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,149.1 -.6%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 62.0 +3.0%
- Rail Freight Carloads 286,762 +1.5%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,305,711 +3.7%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 48.0% unch.
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +.6%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -1.5%
Leading Sectors
- Gold & Silver +7.9%
- Disk Drives +4.7%
- Homebuilding +4.1%
- Biotech +3.1%
- Networking +2.3%
Lagging Sectors
- Road & Rail -2.5%
- I-Banking -3.0%
- Energy -3.6%
- Gambling -4.6%
- Education -5.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (87)
- GWRE, EYPT, ZUMZ, CSIQ, IOT, KRMN, TRML, AVGO, METC, BRZE, VERA, TTAN, BILL, PSFE, BNTX, CLS, BEAM, SMMT, DFH, BTU, DQ, MIR, ENPH, RH, CGON, RIVN, GPCR, JACK, U, W, MAX, OCUL, CYTK, IMVT, DOCU, JKS, IMNM, ARQT, SNDK, SGHC, EXAS, RKT, TECK, FND, LITE, MKTX, B, CDE, PATH, NAMS, HUBS, Z, POOL, ABVX, ECPG, VSTM, WIX, DNTH, ZG, TFPM, DOCN, IONS, SOUN, GFI, GLPG, CRDO, LEN, INOD, KRNT, TEN, AVBP, NBIX, IDYA, PAAS, RNA, NRDS, MEOH, MU, CCRN, LEGN and MBC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (21)
- CLH, TW, SFD, APP, APO, VIRT, OWL, HOOD, SPRY, CHA, KYIV, DNA, FLNG, CPRT, AMD, SCHW, ASAN, PHR, NX, AGX and LULU
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*5-Day Change
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