Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

  • Large-Cap Value +.1%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Energy -1.4% 2) Healthcare Providers -1.2% 3) Telecom -.6%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • HEI/A, PBR, DK, LYTS, BMRN, AVTA, ZETA, ALC, SGRY, BNS, EHC, OVV, DAR, TCPC, DISH, ACHC, EBS, UHS, AMRC, NCLH, TASK, NFE, NEWT, EVER, TWI, TPIC, OMI and AHCO
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) INVH 2) NRG 3) NATI 4) HPQ 5) DISH
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) DISH 2) AHCO 3) NCLH 4) CVEO 5) APTX
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

  • Small-Cap Growth +.9%
Sector Outperformers:
  • Steel +1.6% 2) Gambling +1.6% 3) Gold & Silver +1.2%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • PGNY, KTB, HIMS, CDNA, FOUR, RVMD, SKIN, ACAD, XRAY, RDNT, UVE, SKYT, PRIM, INSW, DUOL, KNTK, RELY, CIEN, TWLO, RETA, AAP, GRBK, ROCC and TGT
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) MRNS 2) RITM 3) NOV 4) WWE 5) CLNE
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) CHS 2) VTNR 3) FOUR 4) HIMS 5) HY

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open: 
  • (ANF)/.86
  • (DLTR)/2.00
  • (DCI)/.68
  • (DY)/.14
  • (FSS)/.56
  • (HGV)/.77
  • (JACK)/1.74
  • (KSS)/.97
  • (LOW)/2.21
  • (RY)/2.93
  • (TUP)/.29
  • (WB)/.53
  • (WEN)/.21
After the Close:
  • (BOX)/.34
  • (JAZZ)/1.12
  • (OKTA)/.09
  • (PLUG)/-.25
  • (MDRX)/.28
  • (AAN)/.01
  • (SNOW)/.05
  • (CRM)/1.36
  • (SPLK)/1.15

Economic Releases 

10:00 am EST
  • Construction Spending MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a -.4% decline in Dec.
  • ISM Manufacturing for Feb. is estimated to rise to 48.0 versus 47.4 in Dec.
  • ISM Prices Paid for Feb. is estimated to rise to 45.0 versus 44.5 in Dec.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory  gain of +1,351,570 barrels versus a +7,647,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -207,140 barrels versus a -1,856,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -68,140 barrels versus a +2,698,000 barrel gain the prior week.  Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.14% versus a -.6% decline prior.
Afternoon
  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for Feb. is estimated to fall to 14.7M versus 15.74M in Jan.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Kashkari speaking, China Services PMI report, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, (TSLA) investor day, Bernstein Tech/Media/Telecom/Consumer Conference, Citi Healthcare Services/Medtech/Tools/HCIT Conference and the BofA Ag/Materials Conference could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Market Movers

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 

Before the Open:
  • (SIG)/1.49
  • (TTC)/1.52
After the Close: 
  • (DOCU)/.56
  • (MTN)/8.81
Economic Releases  
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 235K versus 232K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1802K versus 1795K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • Wholesale Trade Sales MoM for April is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.4% gain in March.

12:00 pm EST

  • Household Change in Net Worth for 1Q.

Upcoming Splits 

  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone GDP report, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, (TD) investor day and the (PYPL) management meeting could also impact global trading tomorrow.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST

Mid-Day Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

  • Volume Running -7.3% Below 100-Day Average 
  • 5 Sectors Declining, 6 Sectors Rising
  • 61.3% of Issues Advancing, 35.2% Declining
  • 53 New 52-Week Highs, 23 New Lows
  • 54.3%(+.8%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
  • Average 14-Day RSI 41.0 -1.0
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 62.8 +.1%
  • Russell 1000: Growth/Value 14,894.6 -.02%
  • Vix 20.4 -2.5%
  • Total Put/Call .95 -7.8%
  • TRIN/Arms 1.02 -28.2%

Monday, February 27, 2023

Tuesday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 115.5 -3.25 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 70.0 -1.75 basis points. 
  • China Iron Ore Spot 123.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.0%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 47.5 -.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index  62.9 +.3%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .17 -2.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 21.2 -.52%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.19%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.20%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.33%.  
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by tech and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.