Wednesday, December 05, 2012

Stocks Higher into Afternoon on Fiscal Cliff Hopes, Short-Covering, Seasonal Strength, Financial Sector Strength

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 16.41 -4.15%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 148.0 +85.0%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -17.31%
  • NYSE Arms .54 -48.75%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 98.53 -1.83%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 151.69 -.68%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 104.63 bps +2.14%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 221.57 bps -1.5%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 22.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.25 +1 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
  • Yield Curve 135.0 -1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $117.90/Metric Tonne +.68%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.70 +1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.45 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +38 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +21 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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