Friday, December 07, 2012

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Fiscal Cliff Optimism, Seasonal Strength, Short-Covering, Financial Sector Strength

Today's Market Take:
 
Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 16.59 +.79%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 146.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .81 -.10%
  • NYSE Arms .52 -37.25%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 97.14 -.39%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 153.26 +1.89%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 109.90 bps +4.14%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 219.94 bps +1.20%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.25 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 22.75 +.75 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.75 -1.5 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 139.0 +5 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $121.0/Metric Tonne +2.20%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.80 +15.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.49 +3 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +17 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +2 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in medial/retail sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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